2050 superpower

Chapter 8 China's Choice, G4 or G27 (2)
In addition to the Fortune 500, there is also a Forbes Global 500.Unlike "Fortune", "Forbes" has a more detailed, comprehensive and scientific evaluation of the countries selected into the top 500.It comprehensively considers the annual sales, profits, total assets and market value of the selected companies, assigns corresponding weights to these four indicators, and then scores them to finally determine the ranking of the top 500 companies. The advantage of the Forbes Global 500 is that it can reflect the strength of an enterprise's comprehensive competitiveness, not just the size of the enterprise.Therefore, the top 500 countries selected by Forbes are those companies with large scale, strong strength and influence in the world.On the "Forbes" list of the world's top 500, there are Chinese enterprises. ~J]t38 home.Compared with the Fortune 500, we can see that there is still a gap between the "big" and "strong" Chinese economy; at the same time, among the 38 enterprises, most of them are monopoly enterprises, because they benefit from the state Policy support, its real market competitiveness is still unknown.

Whether it is the "Fortune" Global 500 or the "Forbes" Global 500, they all reflect the changes in the world economic situation from different angles.Fighting between strong players has stirred up unpredictable changes in the world. In this change, we have seen the rebirth and decline of "life".

Although the United States is unshakably on the throne of hegemony, the speed of its decline is enough to make it "grey overnight"; although Japan is still in second place, the footsteps of China behind it have already kicked it heel.

We can see from this that in order to pursue scale, China will expand its advantageous enterprises to expand its share in the world economy. This strategic intention is obvious.However, if the "big" does not show power, it will gain nothing and waste money; if the "strong" does not show grace, it will cause public grievances and cause internal and external troubles.Therefore, for China, it is necessary to pay attention to the consistency of behavior and goals, otherwise it will be in vain, and it will attract international right and wrong in the midst of faltering.

If China wants to compete for the top 500 in the world and enter the main arena of international competition, it must change the past national policy of "keeping a low profile" and show its strength to the world.Only then will all the work we have done in the past make sense.If China still insists on keeping a low profile, it should learn from Liu Bei in "Cooking Wine and Talking about Heroes" and dive completely under the waves of the world.

Facing the fact that China has become bigger and has been placed in the waves, it has no choice but to be a brave man who dares to win: otherwise, no matter how big China's "aircraft carrier" becomes, it will be sunk.

§§§Section [-] China needs the world The world needs China more

The views of countries in the world on China are always intertwined in contradictions: China, which is developing rapidly, is a threat to all countries; at the same time, China, which is developing rapidly, is what the world needs.In this contradiction, countries feel mixed feelings.

On June 2010, 6, the French "Le Monde" published an article titled "Without China, How Can We Save It?"The article said: "Thanks to the economic crisis, people finally realized that China has become the only channel for the global economic recovery." I attribute it to China.” The United States also acknowledged this point of view of the French media.Because General Motors of the United States is in the predicament of economic recession, it is facing the crisis of coming to an end. At this critical moment, China extended a helping hand.With China's participation, GM has gained new life through asset restructuring.Gan Wenwei, president of GM China, said: “Relationships (in a joint venture) carry more weight than numbers. If your relationship is bad, it’s useless to have 25% general rights because your relationship is bad. And we The relationship with Shanghai Automotive is very good.” Mike Dunn of Asia Automotive Consulting commented:
"If China is removed from GM's asset portfolio, the light at the end of the tunnel will immediately dim." Bao Yinong of Shanghai TNS Automotive Consulting Company said bluntly: "Chinese consumers have saved GM."

If the world economy is the US economy, then the US economy is the Chinese economy.American writer Sarah Bonjoni, based on her own experience, wrote a book titled "A Year Without "Made in China": A Family's Real Experience in a Globalized Economy" on June 2007, 6. Book.Bonjoni wrote in the book: "A year without Chinese products, life is spent in quarrels with my family. I tried to prove that 'Made in China' does not affect all aspects of my life, but it is not the case. Her conclusion: "After a year without 'China', I can tell you this: You can still live (in the US) without Chinese goods, but your life will become more and more troublesome, and the household expenses It will also increase greatly. In the next ten years, I may not have the courage to try this kind of life again."

"Made in China" has contributed to the world economy. While enjoying this contribution from China, some countries try to resist "Made in China" out of fear of China's rise.In this regard, Long Yongtu, former director of the International Department of the Ministry of Foreign Trade and Economic Cooperation of China, pointed out profoundly that the reason why "Made in China" has been boycotted is the political needs of some governments, not economic needs.In fact, as the "world's workshop", the Chinese people are "working" for the recovery of the world economy.The foreign exchange earned by China has become the stabilizer of the world economy.

In July 1997, the Asian financial turmoil hit Thailand, and then Malaysia, Singapore, Japan and South Korea.The economies of some Asian countries have begun to suffer depression, and the political situation has also begun to become chaotic.After the international financial speculators succeeded, they began to attack the financial market in Hong Kong, China.However, the local government of Hong Kong relies on the strong foreign exchange reserves of the central government, so that these financial "predators" hit the "aircraft carrier" of China, and they can only flee in desperation.In the face of the Asian financial crisis, China insisted on not depreciating the RMB, which stopped the decline of the Asian economy. In 7, the subprime mortgage crisis occurred in the United States.Although the crisis took place in the United States, its impact is felt around the world.Instead of standing idly by in the face of this crisis, China has continued to buy US Treasuries to tide it over. In October 2007, Wen Jiabao visited the United States, and in an interview with CNN, he clearly stated: "China and the United States have the same interests in getting through this financial crisis." At the same time, Wen Jiabao also specifically proposed that China should help the United States to tide over Economic difficulties.

On the other hand, the United States, as the superpower of the world economy, not only failed to bear the corresponding responsibility for the recovery of the world economy, but shamelessly used its status as a super debtor country to threaten the world economy to serve it.Even so, the United States is not satisfied. In order to dominate the world, it uses the name of "anti-terrorism" to create disasters everywhere, and the "terror" it causes is even more terrifying.In fact, the real "troublemaker" and "terrorist" country is the United States itself.In addition to the United States, Europe is also in constant trouble. The sovereign debt crisis of its member states is a headache for Europe and the whole world.Only China can survive the two financial crises alone and continue to move forward along the established development route.

The world recognizes China's contribution.Robert Zoellick, president of the World Bank, once said: "China has contributed to the signs of recovery in the global economic line through large-scale economic stimulus and increased lending." As one of the four major private banks in the UK, Barclays Bank, There is a deep consensus on this. Wei Junxian, vice president of the group, said that the Chinese government's 4 trillion yuan economic stimulus plan is not only for China to deal with the financial crisis itself, but also to assume the responsibility of a major country on a global scale, which is very important for other regions in the world to deal with the financial crisis .The German "Handelsblatt" also said that during the financial crisis, China acted decisively and powerfully, launching an economic stimulus plan at an "remarkable speed", which has become a "new traction" for the global economy.Even the well-known media "Wall Street Journal" in the United States, which has always been self-respecting, had to admit: "While politicians in Washington are still debating whether Obama's stimulus plan will help the U.S. economy get out of recession, economists We have declared the winner of this stimulus race, and that is China.” And that’s exactly what happened.During the Asian financial crisis, China quickly got rid of the situation that the economy was operating at the bottom through powerful operations, and had a driving effect on the world economy; after the subprime mortgage crisis in the United States, China continued to purchase US treasury bonds, which not only supported the US economy , also saved the world economy.

With the rapid development of China's economy, the world has gradually come to such a consensus: China and the United States are the "twin engines" of the world economy.For the world economy, the contribution of the United States is reflected in "consumption", while China's contribution is reflected in "manufacturing", and the two cannot be compared.In addition, for the world, China has the dual meanings of "world workshop" and "huge market".Therefore, China's stability is a major contribution to the world and plays an important role in preventing the global economic downturn.China's economy is developing at a faster rate than that of the United States, which has changed the global economic structure. The "U.S.-China" "twin-engine" structure has begun to tilt towards China.Faced with this trend, some developed countries that "struggle only for power" naturally cannot bear it.In order to compete for power, some developed countries have disregarded the overall interests of the world and immorally undermined China's stability.

The anti-China forces have always been obsessed with China. "Three feet of waves without wind" is their daily work, and even some weak and small countries that rely on eating human teeth to "popularize" have echoed it.Although during the financial crisis, the anti-China voices were quieter; but once the rumors passed, the world economy had just started to improve, and the noises resumed.These short-sighted countries did not expect that although the Asian financial crisis and the US subprime mortgage crisis have passed, the shadows are hard to get rid of, and the "post-crisis era" has come one after another.From 2008 to 2009, the total assets of the world's 1000 largest banks decreased by about 15% to 20%, the global stock market value decreased by 30% to 40%, the total global bond market decreased by 20% to 30%, and the nominal value of global financial derivatives The value has shrunk by almost 50%.

After the emergence of the "post-crisis era", all countries in the world want to get out of this difficult predicament.

But when exploring the path, many countries neither agree with the planned economy nor accept the "Washington Consensus", so they can only find another way and look for the "third way".However, existing economic theories have been blunted, and new theories are still "sleepwalking".In a daze, all countries in the world turned their attention to China, and began to pay attention to the Chinese model while being coy and secretive.The characteristic of the Chinese model is that it does not completely copy the Western system, but integrates China's reality to construct a theoretical system that suits China's national conditions, and invisibly integrates the international system during this construction process.Many economic experts and government officials in the West believe that China's economic growth rate of 2009% in 8 should be attributed to the effectiveness of the "China Model" through analysis and investigation.

As a result, the "China model" was recognized by many countries, and they abandoned the free market system one after another, and reached the "Beijing Consensus".

The "Beijing Consensus" came into being and ruined the "Washington Consensus". The collapse of the "Washington Consensus" had a series of effects.Among them, the survival of the International Monetary Fund has problems. Now it can barely maintain its operations with a pitiful US$200 billion in debt; the WTO has also lost its past and present glory, and the Doha trade round negotiations have broken down.

The reason why there are all kinds of turmoil and unrest in the world is because of the decline of the US economy. "The tree falls and the monkeys scatter" is not only a Chinese idiom, but also a reality that the world will face.When there is no profit, it is the end of the song.The mercenary is the logic of capitalism. "Capital" will not be willing to starve its own stomach, it needs a gluttonous feast of the world, the key question is who will be the host.The U.S. economy is not out of the woods, and the EU's economy is plagued by disease due to sovereign debt problems. It is still unknown when it will recover. I am afraid there will be no "food" to eat.Seeing that both the United States and the European Union are in trouble, all countries are avoiding it for fear of getting into trouble.This is in line with an old Chinese saying: "The poor live in the busy city and no one asks, but the rich have distant relatives in the mountains."The United States and Western developed countries, which used to be full of people, are probably going to be empty.Although Japan is one of the most economically developed countries, with its current political status, it is difficult to assume the important task of the host.Looking at the world, only China is a qualified candidate.

China is a powerful "engine" of the world economy. When it develops rapidly with an annual economic growth rate of nearly 10%, it also drives the growth of the world economy.Someone has done a statistical analysis. If the world economic growth rate is 4%, then China alone contributes 1%.In other words, 1/4 of the world's economic growth is created by China.In this regard, the American "Newsweek" published an article saying that emerging economies led by China have become the locomotive of the world economy and are driving the economies of Germany and other Western countries to recover.The U.S. economy has experienced negative growth since 2007 and has become a drag on world economic development. On September 2008, 9, the "New York Times" in the United States published an article entitled "Does It Really Work?" " article.This article argues that since US domestic consumption relies heavily on financial credit, the credit crunch caused by the financial crisis has had a great impact on US domestic consumption.At the same time, this article predicts that the United States will fall into an economic recession for 20 months or even as long as 18 years.The United Kingdom, which has the closest relationship with the United States, has also been embarrassed and has become the country most affected by the US subprime mortgage crisis.World-renowned investor George Soros said that the UK has become the "most injured" economy after the Wall Street financial earthquake except the US.Some public opinion in the UK also commented that it was the US that transferred the risk of the real estate bubble to foreign countries and dragged the UK into the water.Compared with the decline of Western developed countries, China's economy is strong.Moody's analyst Leo Vacks believes that after five years of reform, China's financial system remains stable even amid global turmoil and increased domestic competition.The development of China's economy cannot be separated from the world, and the development of the world economy cannot be separated from China.If the world wants to have a "dinner", only China can be the host.

§§§ Section [-] Nothing can be solved without China
The current era is a new "Warring States" era. In the world's comprehensive "shuffling", all countries are competing to obtain a satisfactory deck of cards.And the United States, as the only superpower in the world, bared its fangs and wanted to swallow the whole deck of cards, so it opened its bloodshot eyes and stared at the world.This country, which resisted colonial oppression in the past, is gestating a new imperial plan.

However, in the process of the United States realizing this plan, China and Russia have become its great enemies.Facing the big enemy, because the value of the United States has been exhausted and its former allies have left it, the United States can only hold some weak and small countries hostage and form a new "alliance" that makes people laugh and cry.

However, when the United States was besieging China, it discovered that the world cannot live without China, nor can it live without China.China is the largest trading partner of the United States.Therefore, the United States besieged China only to tame China, not to defeat China.Under such circumstances, the United States can only hold its big stick high, yelling and intimidating China, and dare not really fight.In fact, all countries in the world do not want China to fall.

(End of this chapter)