2050 superpower

Chapter 7 China's Choice, G4 or G27 (1)
§§§ Section [-] Surpassing Japan is just a process

Japan is an incredible country.When we walk on the streets of Japan, we can see familiar Chinese characters everywhere.Not only that, whenever I see Japanese national costumes, it always reminds me of the prosperous Tang Dynasty in China.If we go deeper into Japanese culture, it will surprise us even more.As Japan's national religion - Buddhism, it was actually introduced from China, and Japan faithfully maintains the original flavor of Buddhist culture.Faced with the sanctity and tranquility of Japanese temples, and looking back at the commercialized Buddhist temples in China, it is so vulgar that it makes us feel ashamed.The quintessence of Japan, the tea ceremony, is said to have originated in China.Originally, Japan did not have native tea trees, let alone the habit of drinking tea. In the 16th century, the envoys sent to the Tang Dynasty in the Nara period of Japan brought tea and tree species back to Japan, and only people in Japan drank tea. After that, Japan introduced tea culture from China and carried it forward, making it more elegant and refined.Now, if we compare the Chinese and Japanese tea cultures, the Chinese "niuyin" and the Japanese "fine drinking" are simply not the same.

Having said so many examples of Japan being stronger than China, it is not to make the Chinese feel inferior.No matter how much we despise, criticize, or even hate Japan, we must be humble and learn from Japan with the mentality of "students don't have to be inferior to teachers, and teachers don't have to be better than students".The Chinese must first learn from the spirit of Japan that can turn "Northern Trifoliate" into "Southern Orange".It can be said that from ancient times to the present, China has always been intoxicated by its greatness and sneered at the cultures of other countries; while some developed countries in foreign countries do not despise China because it is a developing country, but actively accept and introduce Chinese culture. , such as the Confucius schools and martial arts schools we hold in some countries.Compared with the degree of openness of some countries, China is still closed to the outside world in terms of culture.

I don't know when, the proud Chinese changed, became inferior, and became culturally "naked".Even at this point, we are still resisting Western culture, seeing Western culture as a scourge, and we are wearing "the emperor's new clothes" to show off.We should not only carry forward our own culture, but also absorb the advanced culture of other countries. Only in this way can we keep pace with the times.However, we found that when China introduces foreign science and culture, we often change the imported "South Orange" into "Northern Trifoliate".In the face of all this, we had to bend our backs a bit.

China is a giant to Japan; under the oppression of China's momentum, Japan feels that there are many crises.For China, Japan is just a trouble, not a threat.The tiny land of Japan cannot stand the flames of war at all, and a "flood" can "sink" the Japanese island.

In the Second World War, the reason why Japan was able to sweep China was simple, the Chinese government was incompetent and heinous.The Chinese government at that time, that is, the Kuomintang government, had millions of regular troops, but he couldn't even deal with the 10,000+ communist army composed of "mud legs", let alone the well-equipped and advanced Japanese hundred Thousands of regular troops.And the current China is no longer the China of the past. As long as there is no participation of other major powers, Japan dare not challenge China alone militarily.If China and Japan really go to war, China will be able to consume all of Japan's foreign exchange reserves, and eventually lead to the collapse of the country and the family.

It is not a problem at all to surpass Japan with China's conditions as a country with a large population and a large territory.

In 2010, China's GDP surpassed that of Japan and ranked second in the world.However, it is a long way to go beyond Japan in an all-round way.We don't have to worry about Japan. Even if Japan is freed from shackles and can participate in world political activities, with its limited military strength, market size, living space, and the reality of isolated islands on the sea, in the battle for power, as long as China is not mentally retarded and Weak to the point of being out of control, then Japan can't even see the back of China.

Some people say that the Japanese are "more like Chinese than Chinese", which is very profound.Indeed, Japanese culture has a blood relationship with China; in Japanese culture, one can find the culture that China has lost.To be precise, Japanese culture has the deepest relationship with Chinese culture in the prosperous Tang Dynasty, and regards Sinology as "the study of the upper kingdom".In 631 A.D., the fifth year of Tang Zhenguan, Japan sent the first "envoy to Tang Dynasty" composed of overseas students and learned monks; in 717, 733 and 838, Japan sent three envoys to Tang Dynasty, all with more than 550 people.After studying in China, these envoys sent to Tang Dynasty returned to Japan, where they imitated China's education system, set up schools and taught, and trained a large number of talents.In terms of politics, Japan imitated the political system of the Sui and Tang Dynasties to carry out "big transformation and innovation".In this reform, Japan established a central government with two officials, eight provinces, and one five guards, and at the same time established a local government with a national, county, and ri system.

In terms of culture, Japan has absorbed a lot of cultural elements from the prosperous Tang Dynasty. Government officials attach great importance to Chinese Buddhist scriptures, and reciting Tang poems in Chinese has become a common practice; even Japanese characters are created on the basis of the phonetic and ideographic symbols of Chinese characters.

"The Japanese are more like the Chinese" sounds ridiculous at first, but it is true.Faced with such facts, we must ask: what kind of "Chinese" are the Japanese more like?We believe that the Japanese are more like the ideal "Chinese" in Chinese culture.If we judge by the standard of Chinese traditional culture, the result will surprise us: those who look like "Chinese" are not Chinese, but Japanese.So what are we like?We can't find our present shadow in the traditional Chinese culture, and we don't know who we are when we are at a loss.

Not knowing who you are is a tragedy as much as a comedy.The sorrow is that there is no soul home, and the joy is that there is a free soul.A free soul is childish, but childishness will lead to maturity.This is like the nirvana of a phoenix. After rebirth, there will be a huge "nuclear force".China's rise requires this kind of "nuclear power."What we need to do now is to recreate the Chinese people.

China has now surpassed Japan, but only by GDP, so we have no reason to be complacent.For a big country like China, it would be too "self-effacing" to be content with surpassing Japan in GDP.In fact, as long as we can reach the upper-middle level of developing countries, we can leave Japan far behind in terms of GDP.

It is only a matter of time, not possibility, for China to surpass Japan in terms of GDP.Today's reality fully proves this point.Regarding the "good news" that it has surpassed Japan in terms of GDP, China has kept a clear head and made an objective evaluation.

On August 2010, 8, Yao Jian, the spokesperson of the Ministry of Commerce of China, said in an answer to a reporter’s question: “We should pay more attention to the data of per capita GDP. Generally speaking, China is still a developing country.” Yao Jian said at the same time:

"GDP data is only a reflection of a country's economic strength. We should not only care about GDP data, but also per capita data. Everyone knows that China's per capita GDP is only 3800 US dollars, ranking around 105th in the world. ... China also has 1 million people do not meet the (poverty) standard of the United Nations’ income of one dollar a day. This is the reality in China. This more accurately reflects the reality in China, that is, China is a country with a GDP per capita after the 5th place, and there are still a lot of people developing countries with poor people.”

In terms of international trade, both China and Japan are big exporters.However, China and Japan have different export structures.Japan is an international trade-dependent country, and all its exported commodities have its own pure "blood"; China is different. As a "world workshop", China actually exports labor force, and the export value of foreign-funded enterprises accounts for [-]% of the total export value. more than half.Another difference is that Japan’s exports are basically high-end goods with its own intellectual property rights, which have high added value and high profits; China’s exports are basically low-end goods with low ownership of intellectual property rights and additional Small value, low profit.Therefore, compared with Japan, the connotation and gold content of China's export trade are not on the same level.

The struggle of great powers is not only a struggle between rich and poor countries, but also a contest of comprehensive strength.The contest of comprehensive strength depends not only on "proportion" but also on "weight".A country whose comprehensive strength reaches a certain scale is not eligible to participate in the world power competition.Therefore, even if the Japanese "small boat" is made of "gold", it cannot compete with the Chinese "aircraft carrier" unless the "aircraft carrier" is hit by the "small boat" without moving.Therefore, surpassing Japan is only a process for China, not a goal.

Japan is not China's opponent, but it is the object of China's study.What we learn from Japan is not the concrete science and technology, but the excellent quality of Japan.In this regard, we do not ask too much, as long as it reaches half of Japan's quality, China can become a superpower in the world as a big country.

§§§ In the second quarter, enter the main arena of the world competition and compete for the top 500 in the world

Entering 20, the Fortune Global 500 has received good news. In addition to China Petrochemical Corporation, two Chinese companies have entered the top 500 ranks of the world's top 10. They are the State Grid Corporation of China and China National Petroleum Corporation. group company.

The "Fortune" Global 500 list is launched by the American "Fortune" magazine.As a barometer of the global economy, it has become a confrontation arena for the world's aircraft carrier-class enterprises.Since China joined the WTO in 2001, China's economy has gone global, and Chinese enterprises have also gone global.In this context, as a new force in the world economy, after more than ten years of hard work, Chinese enterprises have emerged and attracted international attention.

Since Bank of China became the first Chinese company to appear on the "Fortune" Global 1989 list in 500, Chinese companies have continued to emerge on this list. By 2010, 54 Chinese companies had been listed. .

Among the Chinese companies on the list, they cover industries such as finance, energy, machinery, chemicals, electronics, telecommunications, and automobiles.Chinese companies have entered the Fortune Global 500, and have developed from a single flower in the early days to a hundred flowers competing for beauty now. The world has had to change its "glasses" frequently and re-understand China again and again.

Faced with these achievements, Chinese companies did not get carried away with excitement, but calmly reflected on their shortcomings.Lu Xiangdong, vice president of China Mobile Group Corporation, said: "From the perspective of the number of customers and the scale of the network, China Mobile is already the largest mobile operator in the world; but realistically speaking, we are not the strongest operator."

Lu Xiangdong's remarks hit the vital point of China. "Fortune" ranks the top 500 companies in terms of scale, and "big" and "strong" cannot be equated, that is to say, "big" does not necessarily mean "strong".This principle is the same as the GDP indicator.China is already a big country in GDP, but it cannot be said that China is a strong country in GDP; while the United States and Japan can be called strong countries in GDP, because the per capita GDP of these two countries is more than ten times higher than that of China; even, there are many developing countries. The per capita GDP of the country is higher than that of China.It is for this reason that we put forward the slogan of "making the enterprise bigger and stronger".

Introspection does not mean that there are no strong enterprises in China.Among them, the chairman of Gome believes that if Gome or other Chinese companies are placed on the same starting line as international giants, Chinese companies will do better than them.At the same time, he also said: "Gome is no worse than any of the world's top 500 companies. What we lack is time."

In addition, China's architectural ceramics industry, with its strength, has held the top spot in the world for more than ten consecutive years; China's textile and garment industry has grown from "big" to "strong", and is standing proudly in the process of fighting against financial turmoil and economic recession. head, showing the world how powerful it is.

It can be said that there are countless Chinese companies that can enter the Fortune Global 500 in the future.

It will take time, and when those strong companies in China change from "strong" to "big", they will be dominated by China in the "Fortune" Global 500 list.

Although there is no necessary logical relationship between a "big country" and a "powerful country", in fact, a "powerful country" is generally a "big country". In the 2010 "Fortune" Global 500 list, the United States has 139 There are 27 companies in Japan, accounting for 8%; 71 companies in China, accounting for 14%. From this we can see that the United States, as an economic power, is also an economic power. "Fortune" is the only one among the top 2 in the world, which is equivalent to its status as an economic power. As an economic power, Japan ranks second, which is also equivalent to its status. Only China, although it ranks third, reflects its economic power status, but he ranks second in the list as a developing country.

Although China does not rank No. 500 in the Fortune Global 500 list as an economic power, its rising trend corresponds to its economic development trend.Throughout the history of development, the US economy is in decline, and Japan's economy is also in recession, which is a recognized fact.This fact is also reflected in the Fortune Global [-].

As early as 2001, American companies accounted for 500 of the Fortune Global 184, but by 2010 the number had dropped to 139; Japanese companies had dropped from 104 to 71.And China's economy has been developing, which is clearly reflected in the changes in the number of Chinese companies in the Fortune Global 500 list; China increased from 2001 in 12 to 2010 in 54.Judging from China's current economic development trend, it is very possible to overtake Japan in the Fortune Global 500 and take the second place on the list in the not-too-distant future.

The Fortune Global 500 is judged by its economic scale, which reflects the development trend of the world economy and structure. Therefore, it has become the vane of global economic development and has attracted the attention of countries all over the world.

Since the companies in the "Fortune" Global 500 list are ranked by total revenue without deducting the cost of operating income, these top 500 companies, with their strong lineup and economic scale, dominate the world economy and become The main battlefield of the peak duel.

We can see from the "Fortune" Global 500 list that as the economic strength of emerging economies and developing countries increases relatively, they play an increasingly important role in the world economy.

Faced with this fact, in 2009, at the Pittsburgh summit of the Group of Twenty, leaders agreed to increase the share of emerging markets and developing countries in the International Monetary Fund by at least 5%, and the The voting power of the body in the World Bank will increase by at least 3%.

In April 2010, at the Spring Meetings of the International Monetary Fund and the World Bank, a new round of reform of voting rights was adopted, and the voting rights of developing countries in the World Bank increased by 4%:
Among them, China's voting rights increased from 2% to 77%, and China became the third largest shareholder of the World Bank, second only to the United States and Japan.

(End of this chapter)