2050 superpower

Chapter 5 During the Warring States Period, the BRIC countries were born (4)
The idea of ​​the European Union has not yet been implemented, and a worldwide crisis will ensue. The Asian financial crisis occurred in 1997, and the US subprime mortgage crisis occurred in 2007. The harm caused by these crises has swept the whole world.In the face of these crises, although the "leaders" of the "G2020" have vowed to make promises, they are powerless.On the contrary, due to the helplessness and internal divisions of the "G1500", the panic in the world financial market has been exacerbated.Therefore, Zoellick, president of the World Bank, suggested that the "G130" should accept China, India and other countries, establish a flexible coordination mechanism, and redesign the order of the world economy.Victor Thomas, director of the Royal Institute of International Studies in London, wrote in his article "In 2010, the world will have two superpowers, China and the United States": "People need to keep reminding these two superpowers that their responsibilities have already been fulfilled." expand to the entire planet.” The new U.S. Secretary of the Treasury Hank Paulson said that “China is already one of the global economic leaders,” and particularly emphasized the need to “increase U.S. national savings and increase China’s domestic consumption and the flexibility of the RMB exchange rate.” to address global economic imbalances.Jeffrey Garten, Dean of the School of Management of Yale University in the United States, published an article "Calling China's Marshall Plan" on the Financial Times, suggesting that China allocate [-] billion US dollars from the current foreign exchange reserves and put them in a donation account , in support of the United Nations Millennium Development Goals program.The so-called "Marshall Plan" refers to the plan of the United States to provide economic assistance and reconstruction assistance to the Western European countries destroyed by the war after the end of the "World War II".During the implementation of the "Marshall Plan", the United States provided Western European countries with various forms of assistance, including finance, technology, and equipment, totaling [-] billion U.S. dollars. In [-], the US "Nation Weekly" website published an article by Paul Starobin stating that "China may become the first non-white world leader".

The United States is unable to assume the post of world leader, and the situation of the European Union is even worse.The European Union has always been ambitious and determined to become a world leader.However, since the Doha negotiations in 2006, the trade deficit between the EU and its competitors has almost always been in deficit, and the growth prospect of EU trade is very pessimistic.In the face of difficulties, strengthening the further solidarity among EU member states has become the only way. In 2009, British Foreign Secretary Miliband made a speech, claiming that he no longer emphasized the special relationship between Britain and the United States, but called on the European Union to unite and "prevent" from being marginalized by China and the United States.It can be seen from this that the United Kingdom, which has always been relying on the United States, also plans to break away from the United States and set up a separate family.Britain's alienation from the United States comes from the "Lisbon Treaty" that is about to be adopted by EU member states.At that time, the Treaty of Lisbon, hailed as a new milestone in European integration, had only to be ratified by the last country—the Czech Republic—to take effect.The intention of the EU's move is very clear: act to make the EU a world leader.But things backfired.When the international community had just emerged from the financial tsunami, the backyard of the European Union caught fire at an untimely moment, and the Greek debt crisis occurred.The Greek debt crisis swept across Europe and shocked the world.Greece's debt crisis is just the tip of the iceberg. Portugal, Ireland, Italy and Spain, the four EU member states, are also experiencing soaring public deficits and debts, unable to repay loans. The risk factor is increasing and there are early warning signs of a debt crisis.Therefore, the current EU is struggling and has no energy or conditions to fight for the position of world leader.

We can see from the current international situation that the world urgently needs the emergence of a leader to lead all countries in the world out of the crisis in unison.This urgent need, on the one hand, shows that the world's economic and political chaos is unbearable; on the other hand, it shows that people are disappointed with the United States, the world's only superpower.Under such circumstances, the question of who can become the candidate for the new world leader has become the focus of attention of all countries in the world.

Look at the world, the clouds are moving everywhere, in the cold gale, who will be the hero who leads the world.

§§§The fifth section cooks wine and talks about heroes to see who is the leader in the world

In ancient China, when the vassal states formed an alliance, they would find a cow, cut off the ear of the cow, and then put the cow's blood from the cut into a plate.The leader smears the blood of the ox on his lips, and the other allies do the same."Blood blood alliance" means: the allies take the gods of heaven and earth as a mirror, stick to the covenant, and keep their promises; if there is a breach of the covenant, they will be punished by the gods and die like a cow whose ears have been cut off.Since the cut off ear is controlled by the main ally, the main ally is called the leader.

According to "Zuo Zhuan", in the 17th year of Duke Ai of Lu, Duke Ai met with Duke Ping of Qi in Mongolia and asked for an alliance.When forming an alliance, Duke Ping of Qi kowtowed to Duke Ai, while Duke Ai of Lu simply bowed and bowed.The people of Qi were very angry when they saw Duke Ai of Lu treat him so contemptuously, obviously putting Duke Ping in a subordinate position.For this reason, Meng Wubo, the Prime Minister of the State of Lu, asked Gao Chai: "Do you know who is the leader in the alliance of the princes?" It’s the stone charm of Wei.” After hearing this, Uncle Meng Wu said: “Then this time he will be our king.” Later, Duke Huan of Qi succeeded to the throne and summoned all the princes in Kuiqiu, and Zhi Niu’er became the main ally of the Spring and Autumn Period, achieving a great achievement. A career.Later, Song Xianggong also wanted to fight for the position of the leader, but his country was alone and lonely, and eventually caused disaster to the upper body and died unexpectedly.Therefore, we can see that it is not so easy to be the leader of the leader. Those who are capable can make contributions, while those who are incompetent will suffer bloody disasters.

Leaders must be heroes.Who is a hero, the benevolent sees benevolence, and the wise sees wisdom, is always a topic of debate.In ancient China, Liu Bei was a model of a man who knows how to practice and is a hero, but there are many disagreements about whether he is a hero or not.At the end of the Eastern Han Dynasty, Cao Cao coerced the emperor to command the princes, and his army was strong; although Liu Bei was the emperor's uncle, he was single and weak, so he could only grow vegetables in the back garden of his residence. The way to prevent Cao Cao's harm.One day, Cao Cao prepared a table of food and wine, and invited Liu Bei, who was farming at home, to his house.As soon as they met, Cao Cao said to Liu Bei, "You have done a great job at home!"

Hearing this, Liu Bei's face turned pale with fright.At this time, Cao Cao went on to say: "It's not easy for you to learn to grow vegetables." Hearing what Cao Cao said, Liu Bei was relieved.Next, Liu Bei followed Cao Cao to Xiaoting.

Various wine vessels have been placed on the table in the kiosk.Cao Cao put the green plums in a wine bottle and boiled them with the wine.While drinking, suddenly the sky was cloudy and heavy rain was coming. Cao Cao asked Liu Bei, who is the hero of the world?Liu Bei mentioned a few people, and Cao Cao said disapprovingly after hearing this: "Heroes are those who have great ambitions, have good plans, have the opportunity to hide the universe, and those who have the ambitions of the world." Liu Bei asked, who can be a hero?Cao Cao said: "The only people in the world who can be called heroes now are the envoy and I!" After hearing this, Liu Bei was so frightened that the chopsticks in his hand fell to the ground.Coincidentally, at this time, there was a thunder in the sky, and Liu Bei picked up his chopsticks and said, "The thunder shook, and I was so scared that I dropped my chopsticks." Cao Cao smiled and said, "Are men also afraid of thunder?" Liu Bei said, "Sages are also afraid of thunder." , why am I not afraid?" Seeing that Liu Bei was so timid, Cao Cao no longer doubted that Liu Bei had the heart to fight for power.After Liu Bei escaped from this catastrophe, there will be three kingdoms of Wei, Shu and Wu.

Talk about the allusions of China's past and the current affairs of the world.The current world, in terms of its twists and turns, is not so much like China's Three Kingdoms era, but more like China's Warring States era.During the Warring States period, Qi, Chu, Yan, Han, Zhao, Wei, and Qin stood side by side, among which Qi and Qin were the strongest.

In the confrontation between east and west, striving for allies and defeating each other is the same national policy adopted by Qi and Qin.The other five countries are not to be outdone, and in the conflict between the great powers, they wander between the vertical and the horizontal in order to fight for a piece of the pie.

Looking back at the world today, the United States has changed from a leader in the past to a lonely "Lu Bu", with nothing but a red rabbit horse under his crotch and a painted halberd in his hand.Although the sunset in the United States is red, it is only the last brilliance.In the flashback, the United States brandished the "Fangtian Painting Halberd" in its hands as if it had taken a stimulant, provoking troubles everywhere.In the eyes of the world, the United States has gone mad with restraint.The United States is gone, so when talking about heroes, although the United States will be mentioned, it is not considered.

A unipolar world is a broken world, a bipolar world is a tense world, and only a tripolar world is a geometrically stable world.In today's turbulent world, heroes emerge in large numbers.When it comes to heroes, it is natural to examine them from three aspects-political, economic, and military.

In terms of military, we only look at the top three.The United States bears the brunt of the top three, and no one can hold a candle to it.The nuclear weapons possessed by the United States are said to be capable of destroying the whole world; in 2009, the military expenditure was as high as 6610 billion US dollars, accounting for the total military expenditure of all countries in the world. 43%, nearly 10 times higher than that of China, which ranks second, and its military strength is obvious to all.Behind the United States is Russia.Although Russia only ranked fifth in military expenditure in 2009, its advanced weapons are second only to the United States, and its military power ranks second in the world.After the end of the Cold War, although Russia was in a downturn for a long time, with the recovery of the economy, the military has also begun to reappear in the world. Since 2007, it has resumed cruising to the world's major theaters. Strategic bombers and naval formations are dispatched to sea areas, and various military exercises are held with the United States and NATO as the main imaginary enemies.In early 2008 alone, Russia formulated more than 2008 drill plans.The last of the top three is India.As a big country in Asia, India has always regarded China as a catch-up target.In the military, India is working hard to build a strategic military force, hoping to challenge China in the near future.India's military technology level is very low, and it can only use "stones from other mountains" to develop itself.India has good relations with the United States and Russia, and has purchased a large amount of weapons and equipment from these two military powers. Although the quantity is insufficient and the variety is limited, its hardware has reached the world's advanced level.Especially after India has nuclear weapons, its desire to become a powerful country has intensified.Therefore, some people say that India's rise is a strange rise "in spite of the gods".

Heroes cannot only have military "martial arts" and high strength.Only military heroes are reckless heroes, who cannot become great weapons, let alone become world leaders.But "a weak country has no diplomacy" is the most reasonable thing.A country without diplomacy is not even qualified to be a world leader. Therefore, it is necessary to strengthen its own national defense.Counting the world's political powers, none other than China.China used to be a weak country, straddling the international political arena, influencing and changing the world.The creation of this miracle is unmatched by any other country in the world.From this point of view, China is the "superpower" in world politics.The diplomacy of other countries in the world is carried out by guns and money. Compared with China, their intelligence level can only be at the level of elementary school students, so they will not comment on the diplomatic capabilities of other countries.

(End of this chapter)