Xinshun 1730

Chapter 1467 The Final Farce ([-])
The primary industry is useless.

What?

Rely on the secondary industry, rely on industry.

Only when the industry develops and the nitrogen fixation technology is really solved, can the plight of the primary industry be relieved.

Before that, the so-called "total national wealth", or the improvement of "total productivity", could only count on the rapid development of industry.

Industrial development depends on capital.

To put it simply, you can build a railway. You need capital to build it.

Capital is capital.

A capitalist is a capitalist.

It's not the same thing.

That is to say, it depends on capital.

Then it has to be said that is a very miraculous thing.

invisible hand.

The invisible hand is a law, the law of water going down, and the law of heat running up.

This stuff is not God, it’s not Jesus, it’s not Hu Da, it’s not that the use of this stuff will achieve what Saint-Simon said [capital will flow to businesses that are beneficial to society, such as smelting, mining, irrigation, canals, etc.].

In other words, with this thing, everything will be fine.

Again.

This thing is similar to the rule of "I like hot ones".

is a rule.

It is not the God of "God loves the world", no "love of personality", but the ruthless law of the way of heaven.

A glass of 0-degree water, and a glass of 15-degree water, under this rule, I will find 15-degree water.

And a glass of 15-degree water, and a glass of 30-degree water, under this rule, I will find 30-degree water instead of looking for 15-degree water like the former.

Wei Zheng has a saying, "Water can carry a boat or capsize it", which has almost the same meaning.

The invisible hand, under certain conditions, that is [capital will flow to causes that are beneficial to society, such as smelting, mining, irrigation, canals, etc.].

But to change the condition, that is, like Dashun, the financialization of cultivated land to avoid risks, flow to cultivated land, flow to usury, and flow to land rent.

Even if it is said that Dayu controlled the water, he had mastered the law of "water flows to a lower place".

So, does it mean that Dayu felt that if the water is treated with a hammer, the water flows to the lower place, let him go, and then it will be cured naturally?

This is called letting nature take its course.

no.

not like this.

Rather, Dayu knew the law of "water flows to low places".

Then use this law to dig river channels and block river embankments, so that the water "flows along the river channel that Dayu wanted."

And this river channel conforms to the law of "water flows to lower places".

Of course, Liu Yu must bear the main responsibility for Dashun's Practical School.

He said half of what the old horse said, kept half, or completely rehearsed.

And Lao Ma's thoughts are based on the development of the critical inheritance of British classical political economy, French Utopian Society, and German classical philosophy.

For this set of criticism, inheritance, and development, Liu Yu said that half should be kept and half should be kept, and some even went against the grain.

That will definitely remove "criticism, inheritance, and development" and go to the source of thought.

The essence of Saint-Simon's doctrine lies in: admitting the invisible hand and private ownership, but using this law.I hope that there is such a hand as the "National Credit Bank" to regulate, lure, collude, and manipulate—mainly lure—to let capital flow to infrastructure, industry, development, canals, irrigation and other industries.

Everything is still based on "human self-interest" and "capital's profit-seeking nature", or it can be said that it is also based on the "invisible hand".

What does Li Yan mean by these words?
That is to say, since it is said that the invisible hand really exists, and water can carry a boat and overturn it, now that the invisible hand has made Dashun's capital, the old fucking loves to run on the cultivated land and hoard land to collect rent Run up, love to run on land speculation, love to run on pawnshop usury.

Then can I think of a way to prevent them from running up here?
I said, is it okay to educate people?Let me tell you, landlords, squires, and businessmen, don’t buy land and stockpile it, okay?For the future of the country, for the sake of the country, for a better tomorrow, you should invest in railways, mines, and coal-iron complexes, okay?

Nonsense, of course not.

Because of these beeps, eggs are useless.

The invisible hand will make them spontaneously run to land and usury.

Since the beeps are useless, can we think of a way to prevent them from going to land and usury with the highest return rate?
Use administrative orders, state regulation, administrative policies, etc. to restrict them?

In other words, use the state machinery to build a dike to enclose the "lowest" place.In this way, even if it is a natural law for water to flow to the lowest place, because of this dam, the water cannot flow to the lowest place?
Actually, to put it bluntly.

The set of "Guanzi" - lure it with profit.If the direction is not the direction the court wants, then find a way to regulate it so that the direction that is lured by the court is the direction the court wants.

To put it simply, heavy industry, including railways, iron smelting, chemical industry, etc., requires large investment, slow results, and small returns. Capital does not like to run here, at least not now.

So what to do?

Under the premise that Dashun, a feudal dynasty, existed, there were no more than three methods.

The first one, the imperial court, came to be the owner of the largest capital in the world.

What the fuck invisible hand, what their water flows down, hanging hair, capital is in my hands, and I can let it flow wherever I want it to flow.

But the problem is, for one, Dashun Hang Mao is not.Datang can still engage in the land equalization system, because Datang still has a lot of "state-owned land" in its hands. What's wrong with Dashun?Relying on that little agricultural tax for a year, went to support soldiers, disaster relief, and official salaries, how many money are left?Without assets, how can you be the owner of the largest capital in the world?
Second, if Dashun really had this ability, then things would be easy.North America, Australia, Yili, Heilongjiang, let alone billions of acres of arable land.

With this kind of capital, wouldn't the practical radicals be able to play around?

It takes 20 years to immigrate to ensure that the per capita land ownership reaches 30 mu.

There is a domestic market.

The contradiction between people and land has been alleviated.

There is food.

Small peasants also have spare money to buy cloth.

Industry and commerce developed along with the expansion of the domestic market.

What are you worried about?
This is not the key is not this ability?
The second is to find a way to escort the big industry.

Use violent mechanisms to crush any force that hinders industrial profitability.

This is enough.

Because, according to the normal route, it must be light first and then heavy.

In the situation of Dashun, if you engage in light industry, you must compete with the people for profit.

Compete with the people for profit.

These four words are wonderful.

The key lies in the "people", what exactly is it, and who is the people.

At the beginning, when Sang Hongyang debated with Xianliang Literature, he brought up this issue of competing for interests with the people.

Virtuous literature says, what kind of minting power does the central government want?It is better to hand over the minting rights to the free market and to the local tycoons.Is this thing difficult?Who can't mint money?If you're like this, it's fine to mint coins and hand them over to the market?

If the central government wants the right to mint coins, that is to compete with the people for profit.

Virtuous literature said, what does the central government want to specialize in salt and iron?It's better to hand over things like salt and iron to the local tyrants.

If the central government wants salt and iron, it is competing with the people for profit.

Obviously, the "people" who compete with the people for profit here is definitely not the same as the "people" understood by ordinary people.

But Dashun is different.

For example, Dashun is in Songsu, relying on cotton yarn from India to run a large textile enterprise.

That will definitely kill Hubei's textile industry.

And those who do textiles in Hubei rely on the local market in Hubei and the opportunity of Sichuan salt to enter Chu. The old women spin some yarn and weave some cotton cloth to earn a few porridge money, buy some salt, and exchange some money for currency. Tax, buy a red ribbon for the girl.

Then you say this is the people?Is it competing with the people for profit?

Of course you said that these people are backward in productivity and will be run over by the rolling wheels of history.

But the thing is, they're human.They are self-aware, and they know that "if you die, you will be famous".

When they face the wheel of history, they don't consciously think about it: Oh, if I don't make progress, then I deserve to be crushed to death by the wheel of history.So I closed my eyes and waited for death, and when the wheels ran over, I laughed three times, "Death is worthy, happy, happy."

no.

They will read a few poems on the spot, and then they will go to the Dabie Mountains nearby.

Then, can these big industrial giants in Dashun solve the employment of tens of millions of people?

Certainly not.

If you can, things are simple.

Liu Yu's reform was nothing more than abolishing a canal and moving the trade center from Guangzhou to Songsu.

Only.

This led to continuous uprisings and resistance in Dashun in the past 30 to [-] years.

It took 30 years of intermittent suppression before it was able to stabilize.

After the Qingzhou Army completed the reorganization and dispersal of the Western Regions, except for some of them who were based in the Marine Corps to fight overseas, and some of them were reformed in the southwest.

The rest are basically busy suppressing uprisings and resistances along the canal, Yangzhou salt workers, and Wuling porters.

Can your bourgeoisie hold it back?Where does your strength come from?

Fage can bear it, can defeat France with Paris, and Europa with France, whose strength is it relying on?

It depends on the farmers.

Did the peasants follow your bourgeoisie?No, it was you bourgeois who summoned Gracchus and Caesar with the technique of summoning the dead, and they are following Gracchus and Caesar.

You throw away the skins of these ancient Heroic Spirit cards and replace them with Gizo and others, do the peasants know who you are?You bourgeois are a halberd and a spear, and the peasants will follow you?

In Dashun, without the support of hundreds of millions of small farmers, you are in a peasant country, how can you have the strength to suppress all resistance?

If you have the strength to suppress the resistance caused by the bankruptcy of small farmers and handicraft industries of this scale, the overall desolation of the countryside, and the gentrification of the countryside, then why are you taking off your pants and farting? Go directly to the first path, concentrate capital, Take command, how good it is to run to the billions of acres of land in the new world.

As for the third one, it’s what Lao Ma said about taking three to play:
Whether it is cheating, fooling, or coercing with a bayonet is also a way.

In short, let capital run in the direction of infrastructure, heavy industry, mining, irrigation, canals, etc.

If, with superb financial fraud, the credit bank under the skin of Saint-Simonism can be played out, and the credit bank can be used as the baton, then of course it would be the best.

If you don't have such skills, then rely on bayonets.

Liu Yu and the old emperor laid a good foundation for Dashun. It has both a vast market and commercial hegemony. There are also two excellent raw material origins in Java, India, and the massive amount of resources that will be excavated in Fusang and Southern Ocean. gold and silver.

Rely on foreign trade to develop light industry.

Relying on bayonets, compulsory redemption, and industrial securitization of the principal, the money of the squires is forced to flow to domestic infrastructure.

After getting the infrastructure up and running, many problems will be easy to talk about.

Because infrastructure, especially in the age of steam, means the development of cement, coal mines, iron ore, smelting, metal processing, steam engines, shipbuilding, mechanical processing, and many other industries.

Of course, in fact, Li Yan's thinking is still "conservative".

Subconsciously, he felt that the industry and commerce simply could not accommodate so many people.How can it be possible to leave [-] million people in agriculture and [-] to [-] million people engaged in industry and commerce?
Therefore, with this "old-fashioned" subconsciousness, he believes that the final solution is immigration.

It's just that his thinking is the thinking of Saint-Simonism: find a way to create conditions for capitalists, "lure" them, and invest capital in industries that are "beneficial to society" such as reclamation.

The ultimate goal is to wait for the infrastructure to be completed, let the capital enclose the land to reclaim wasteland, pull people to work there, and finally rely on billions of acres of "commercially valuable" land overseas, Northeast, and Western Regions to move people there.

for example.

At this time, there is no infrastructure and transportation conditions are not good.

The black land on the bank of Heilongjiang is worthless.Capital will not even glance at it.

But if the railway is completed, or if the steamer can go directly from Vladivostok to northern Jiangsu without looking at God's face, then the black land on the banks of the Heilongjiang River will be of great commercial value.

Now you go to Yili Qihe to plant land, and you can grow grain and cotton, but you can't transport it out, and you can't transport it to densely populated areas. Do you call it "commercial grain" or "commercial cotton"?It is not even a commodity, and it cannot complete the critical process of "realizing in circulation" in the surplus value. If you cannot circulate and earn surplus value, which capital will go there to reclaim wasteland and relocate people?

Therefore, Li Yan felt that Liu Yu was playing a "Ponzi scheme" similar to later generations in Fusang.

A flicker, blowing there with foam, blowing a lot of capital, ran to emigrate, and solved the problem of emigration in the Yellow River.

Seeing that the bubble was about to explode five years later, Liu Yu "won the bet" and actually found a big gold mine in Fusang.

So the bubble didn't explode.

Then Li Yan felt that this set of things could be learned by himself.

You Xingguo are blowing bubbles, but I can't blow them?

20 years later, when the big infrastructure is completed, when the bubble is about to explode and when the principal needs to be repaid, the infrastructure has been completed, and the transportation conditions have been improved. Pay back the principal?
For example, the land on the bank of Heilongjiang is not worth much now.Self-cultivating farmers may like it because things cannot be shipped out, but self-cultivating farmers in the Central Plains are unwilling to go, and bankrupt farmers who hope to make class transitions can't afford to go to become self-cultivating farmers;

Twenty years later, the railway was repaired to the bank of Heilongjiang.At that time, the principal will be repaid, and there is really no principal, and you can't afford it. The principal of one tael of silver will give you ten acres of land in Heilongjiang, will you accept it?

Besides, will there be such good things at that time?If you sell the ten mu of land, you can pay back the principal of one tael of silver, right?

Now Dashun is not without resources.

The land north of the Songliao watershed, the Ili River Valley, Australia, and North America are all state-owned land.

But the problem now is that the infrastructure is not good, the logistics are not smooth, and the transportation cost is too high. These state-owned lands are worthless.

You said that these lands are all good land, but you have to exchange two acres for one, and you have to exchange them with the landlord.The landlord has to think about it, if you can give me the land, can you give me the tenant?The tenants can’t afford it, so can you move the domestic grain market for me?You can only give me land, have an egg to use?

If you can’t give me this mu of land, and the social conditions, material basis, and population market behind this mu of land, how can the two mu of land compare with my one mu of land that involves social relations behind it?

Besides, I spent money to immigrate the tenants to Fusang, planning to become my serfs.When people saw it, what the hell, there are thousands of miles of fertile soil, and if they are sick, they must be serfs?Can't run away?

Rakshasa's serfdom was so strict that a group of serfs ran to the Don River and became Cossacks.When we arrived in Fusang, wouldn't it be more fun to run?
Confucius was harsher than a tiger at that time, at least there was a tiger.

Are there tigers in Fuso?
A bit of a cougar at best, and that's just a cat.

Tyranny is fiercer than tigers, and we may have to ponder whether to look for tyranny or tigers.

Tyranny is stronger than cats, who wouldn't go to cats?
Why, you can still publish the "Fusang Enclosure Escaping Slave Law", regressing back to slavery?You sent troops to catch the fugitive slaves?

Besides, even if you published the "Fusang Enclosure Law of Escaping Slaves", what would I do with a bunch of slaves?Tobacco, sugar cane and cotton can be grown on the east coast, and sold to Europe for money, earning surplus value.I get a bunch of slaves to grow food for fun?
I have a quirk, I love food, and I like to see food piled up in piles?
Love and use, you have to understand this concept.

If I can't sell it, how many years will it take me to earn back the money for the boat tickets for the migrant tenants?How about cooperating with me to issue a boat ticket and do charity for the tenants here?

Then I told the ship owner, I said I have no money, no gold and silver, but I have food.No, when you go back, take two bags of grain to pay the bill.

The owner of the ship is sick. He crossed tens of thousands of miles of wind and rain in the Pacific Ocean and brought back two bags of grain?Wouldn't it be nice for someone to get some Chilean saltpeter, copper, sandalwood, fur, etc. for the return journey?
Therefore, billions of acres of land in Fusang are worthless.

At least, not worth the money right now.

Dashun said, I actually have state-owned assets.You see, I have a lot of land in Fusang, the Northeast, and the Western Regions. Isn't this all capital?
However, as the old man said:

[A black man, under certain conditions, is a slave, without this certain condition, he is not a slave. 】

[A spinning wheel, under certain conditions, is capital.Without this specific condition, it is a spinning wheel, it is not capital. 】

Capital is a social relationship.

Your land is just land now, and if you want to turn it into capital, it still lacks key "specific conditions."

Without such "conditions", blacks are just blacks and not slaves, spinning wheels are just spinning wheels and not capital, and land is just land and not state-owned assets that can be realized.

Therefore, the Dashun court now only has land, and it really has billions of acres of land.

However, Dashun still lacks one thing, a "condition" to make the land in the Northeast and Western Regions of Fusang a realizable asset.

Li Yan believes that the key to this condition lies in "infrastructure, logistics, transportation, and means of transportation."

Dashun has technology.There is an agricultural technology that yields one hundred and fifty catties per mu and definitely has surplus value that can be squeezed out.

Dashun also has the demand.External markets, internal changes, industrial and commercial development, and demand for crop raw materials are constantly expanding.

There is no shortage of people.As long as the transportation cost is solved, including the cost of transporting people, Fusangna and other good places, it will be no problem to move to 5000 million yuan.

What is missing is how to solve the problem of "transportation costs".The Wanli Sea, the Songliao watershed, and the deserts of the Western Regions will no longer increase transportation costs excessively.

As long as this condition is resolved, the principal that was fooled and forced before is a fart?It will not be repaid casually in the future.

Therefore, as long as you pay attention, the railway can really become a grand canal without water, and the steamer will only need to travel to and from Fusang five or six times a year in three to two months.

You say that crossing the Pacific Ocean now, it takes so much effort, it still depends on the face of God, ocean currents, wind direction, storms and other things.In the future, if you don’t look at God’s face, you will make five or six trips a year to transport people, grain, silk, and cotton. Wouldn’t it be profitable?

Take a big gamble, 20 years later, throw the dice cup, and bet on the infrastructure, logistics, transportation and transportation industry, that is... heavy industry.

(End of this chapter)