Xinshun 1730

Chapter 1449 "Emperor" ([-])

In history, one thing that is very related to this set of things is the financial crisis that began to brew in Europe in 1856, fermented in North America, and finally swept the world.

And this crisis has directly led to many problems.Including wars, abolition of slavery, two crows, etc., it is almost the first major worldwide crisis in the steam age.

In North America, the crisis stemmed from the railroad bubble.

The gold rush made the railway frenzy, and capital flowed frantically to the construction of railways.As a result, before the large-scale repairs were completed, the gold was dug out, which directly caused the railway stocks to plummet.The banks also collapsed, and the railroad companies also collapsed. At that time, the Civil War had not yet been fought, the Homestead Act had not been enacted, cotton could not be obtained, pig iron was dumped by Europe, American industry was very limited, gold was dug out, and the railroad bubble collapsed. It exploded.

And in Europe, the crisis ... originated in Asia.

The Indian soldiers revolted and demanded that India's Manchester industry directly collapsed.

The Tianping Heavenly Kingdom Movement directly caused a big problem in the price of silver in Europe.At that time, the problem of gold and silver currency exchange in Europe can be regarded as the beginning of the financial crisis that began to spread in 56.

That is to say, even though the Manchu Qing Dynasty was mixed up at that time, and the two crows were about to start fighting, they still relied on the hard work and handicraft foundation of the people, and relied on their amazing ability to absorb silver, to still be able to fight against the outbreak of the financial crisis in the whole world." Responsible".

So much so that Lao Ma sighed: [The impact of the Chinese uprising on Europe is much greater than the impact of all the wars in Russia, the declarations of Italy, and the secret societies of all factions in Europe]

Because the amount is really scary.

Catching up with the European floods in 55, climate change caused problems in the silkworm breeding industry, and the Taiping Rebellion caused the sales of comprador groups' industrial products to be weak, so that in 55, "the export of European and American industrial products to China decreased by 66%, and the import of tea increased by 63% , Raw silk imports surged by 218%.

Counting opium and counting opium in "normal trade" as a surplus and deficit, China still has a super surplus with Europe and the United States of 55 million pounds equivalent to 570 million taels of silver in 1800 years.

And this year, only 300 million taels of industrial products were sent from Europe to China.

As for the major imports of cotton and opium, they accounted for 1100 million taels, but all the money went to India instead of returning to Europe—it was just catching up with the problem of the exchange rate between gold and silver, so that the silver spent in India was returned to the country Flowers are more cost-effective.

In fact, in 55 years, Europe and America, within one year, 1124 million pounds, or 3400 million taels of silver, flowed to China, but only 500 million taels were returned.

How big were the precious metal plates in the world at that time?And the 3400 million taels directly "disappeared" from the concept of hot money and entered the "black hole".

This place eats 3400 million taels within a year... This is not the era of printing money, but the era of precious metals. It is impossible to say that it is not scary.

scare someone to death.

That's why it is said that the uprising in China had a much greater impact than the Russian war, the Italian war, or even the activities of various messy secret societies in Europe.

Why the Chinese uprising?
Because, according to the statistical data, Lao Ma came to the conclusion that the flow of silver is divided into three stages.

In the first stage, from the 16th century to 1830, silver flowed purely from Europe to Asia, and there was no possibility of it flowing back to Europe.Here, China is not only counted, but also colonized India is added. That is to say, China, as a part of Asia, carries the amount of India's colonial plunder, and still pulls Asia's silver surplus with Europe to 1830 year.

The second stage is from 1831 to 1849.

During this period, the British colonial plunder of India accelerated.

Moreover, during this period [Britain's "mercy" forced China to conduct a formal opium trade, and opened the door to the "mortal world piled with opium" by force.The direction of precious metal circulation has undergone a drastic change].

However, the tenacity of the small peasant economy of the Eastern Empire and the development and resilience of the handicraft industry are not comparable to that of the steam engine.

Thus, from 1849 to 1856, a third stage appeared.

Silver flowed back to Asia from Europe again.

The reason was the Taiping Rebellion.

Weakened opium sales, troubled times lead to hoarding of silver for hedging, Indian cotton yarn began to stimulate the local textile industry "weaving instead of spinning", which rapidly increased cloth production, war threatened treaty ports... 1855 million taels in 1800 were directly produced The super large surplus and about 6400 million taels of silver outflow from Europe to the whole of Asia directly detonated the financial crisis in Europe.

The above historical facts are of great significance to Dashun.

That is to say, one of the two problems that the set of development model is worried about - the problem of precious metals - Dashun has nothing to worry about in a short period of time.

Because, with the bird like Manchu Qing, coupled with the flood of opium, and the import of cotton and opium from India, it is still possible to make a surplus of 1800 million taels.

Now, Da Shunyi has no opium.

Second, India's cotton is in Dashun's own hands.

Sanlai Dashun's traditional handicraft industry seems to be not much different from the Manchu Qing Dynasty in 1855. Of course, the non-traditional ones are not counted.But the European industry in 1855 in history and the European industry in 1760 at this time are very different. In 1855, non-opium industrial products that could sell for 112 million pounds are hard to say now, even if the swastika is removed—ginseng, mink fur, and pearls are not industrial products.

Four years ago, it was Dashun himself who was digging for gold and silver on the west coast of North America.

North America has not yet developed in the past five years, and the precious metals accumulated in Europe for hundreds of years will not go to the North American railway, but can only go to Dashun—this is mainly because there is really no place to run. The financial capital can only go to the British canal industry.But now, Dashun has won the first battle and abolished the status of Manchester Cotton Textile and Liverpool as a slave trading port. No one will invest money in the British canals. With the financial capital of the Netherlands in hand, it is not easy to do another one. Bo Tulip is beating drums to pass flowers, where will he go if he doesn't go here?

Liulai Dashun did not abolish the triangular trade, but only replaced the status of the "industrial product" provider of the triangular trade.This is called bitterness and hatred for pressing the gold thread every year and making wedding clothes for others.

Therefore, Dashun, as the embryonic "emperor", even if it does not consider the imperialism, even if it is a normal trade, it is a crazy surplus.

In addition, precious metals from North America, Australia, Borneo, and India continue to flow and be mined in Dashun.

Naturally, in a short period of time, there is no need to worry about the issue of "financial crisis caused by insufficient precious metals".

As for the general uprising caused by the revolution in Europe, the awakening of India, and the use of spinning machines in the future, which will lead to the collapse of the Indian spinning handicraft industry, the sudden sudden drop in the market caused by the sudden break of the inflow of precious metals, and the "conduction" uprising caused by the sudden break of the inflow of precious metals, it is not considered here. within.

Because, it may take 20, 30 years.

After 30 or [-] years, the collapse will collapse, so it doesn't matter much, the foundation is fighting anyway.

Moreover, when the time comes, it will even be said that the collapse is good and the collapse is wonderful, and a wave of general crisis will directly kill the Dashun Dynasty.

Therefore, there is no need to consider the financial crisis caused by the shortage of precious metals, and the crisis that Dashun adopts that kind of thinking to continue reforming.

It is meaningful and of great significance. Once it breaks out, it will be super large-scale.

But at least there is no need to worry, that set has only been played for three or five years, and even before the completion of the Yellow River channel and the completion of the railway, it will collapse.

Wait for the foundation to be laid, and it will collapse.

This is the first crisis.

As for the second, that is, can Dashun's industry maintain a high-speed growth for a long period of time, so that this set of rapid industrial development will not become a bottleneck in just three to five years?

This still has to consider Dashun's position as "emperor".

Since it is the real world, it is impossible to "put aside reality".

Since it is the real world, it is impossible to have a so-called vacuum spherical chicken.

Since it is the real world, Dashun has a total population of more than 3 million, and the agricultural population is at least 30.00 million, accounting for at least [-]% of the world's total population. Questions of uprisings and mass protests.

This is not to say that if you hold the scriptures and say, "You will be run over by the wheel of history", the small peasant economy will be slaughtered, thinking that if you want to make progress, you will die, so you will get through it safely.

To put it bluntly, this meant that Dashun was still in its prime, not yet at its end.

If it is the end of the period, just changing the trade center from Guangdong to Songsu, just changing the waste water to the sea, regardless of semi-colonial dumping, these two things alone, millions of water workers, one hundred thousand Cantonese Xiu, 20 Wuling ancient road porters, and [-] Xijiang shipping boatmen can directly set off Dashun.Even if it can't be broken, at least half of it can be broken.

What's more, if the small peasant economy is really activated, then this level is not as simple as those two things.

To put it bluntly, your Dashun Li family is on the side of industry and commerce and the side of the bourgeoisie.Then we small farmers, go to Zhang Zicheng and Zhao Xianzhong to be emperors who equalize the land, emphasize agriculture and despise business.

When Lao Ma commented on the "farce of the two Napoleons", he mentioned the issue of "small farmers".

In other words, I said that the "small peasants" faced the situation of the two Napoleons.

When the first Napoleon:
Through "equivalent land", the French feudal peasants became the owners of small plots of land, and Napoleon became the material condition of the emperor.This was the condition that France guaranteed the prosperity of French rural residents in the early 19th century.

At that time, the feudal peasants stood up, overthrew the land aristocracy, and tore off the feudal shackles on them.At that time, they stood with the emperor and opposed the old era, the old aristocracy, the old system, and the old feudalism.

At that time, they were compatible with the interests of the bourgeoisie and stood up against the feudal forces together.

And when it came to the second Napoleon:
The feudal lords had been replaced by urban usurers; feudal obligations on land by mortgages; noble estates by bourgeois capital.

The peasant's small plot is now only an excuse for the capitalist to extract profit, interest, and rent from the land, while the cultivator of the land earns his own wages as he pleases.

The mortgaged debts upon the lands of France earn annually from the French peasants an annual interest equal to the total annual interest of the whole public debt of England.

Small-holding property, thus enslaved by capital (and its development inevitably entailed such enslavement), turned a greater part of the French population into primitives.

Sixteen million farmers (including women and children) live in caves, most of which have only one small window, some have two small windows, and the best have only three small windows...

A small piece of land bears the burden of taxes in addition to the mortgage debts imposed on it by capital.Taxes are the source of life for bureaucrats, armies, courts...

After the feudalism was broken, the bourgeoisie, usurers, mortgage loans, land rent extraction, etc., are like vampires who come to suck their blood and brains and put them into the alchemy furnace of capital.

above, so.

From the perspective of the self-cultivating peasant economy, landlord tenancy, usury, land rent, and interest extraction in North China.

Dashun's own small farmers, are they in the stage of "the first Napoleon"?

Or, has come to the "second Napoleon" stage?

In France, it was the revolution of the bourgeoisie that allowed small farmers to acquire land, exempt feudal servitude, allow land sales, abolish feudal inheritance laws, abolish serfdom, and realize the "small peasant economy."

But in Dashun, this set of things...doesn't require a wave of legal reforms before it can be obtained legally.Because, after the Dashun uprising established the country in North China and the Central Plains, Dashun was originally a small-scale peasant economy, and it also achieved land sales, abolished the feudal primogeniture law of civilians, and exempted the demands of personal dependence.

On the contrary, the self-cultivating farmers in Dashun actually skipped the appeal of the legal reform stage and jumped directly to the fate of the Nasan era. What they faced was that the feudal lords had been replaced by urban usurers; Mortgages have been replaced; noble estates have been replaced by bourgeois capital . . .

Therefore, they have no possibility of standing with the bourgeoisie at all.

Emperor Dashun not only wanted to develop industry and commerce, but also knew that small farmers were the basic base. He stood on one side and seemed to stand on the other.
If there is no choice, you can only choose one of two: either small farmers, or the development of industry and commerce, then the emperor will definitely choose small farmers.Don't even think about it.Without the development of industry and commerce, the country will be reincarnated for 250 years at most; if the development of industry and commerce throws away small farmers, tomorrow may be the age of Jiazi.

However, now that Dashun has finished the first battle, isn't this mixed with imperialism?
And the old horse said clearly:

In the industrial age, industrial hegemony made finance a vassal of industry.

In the era of handicraft industry, the hegemony of commerce has brought about industrial development; and the hegemony of commerce stems from the power of the state, the army, warships, commercial wars, and the protection system.

Everyone is engaged in handicrafts, even if there is a gap, it is not much different, and the logic of the industrial age is different.Therefore, whoever can fight, who has a fleet, can get the entry ticket for industrial development.

Dashun finished the first battle and gained commercial hegemony.

As a result, the cotton textile industry in Manchester died, the cotton textile industry in Dhaka and Surat collapsed, and the imitation lacquerware industry in France could no longer pretend to be Chinese goods and sell them to Germany...

The world market at that time was just that big.

If the textile workers in Surat do not die, the home textile industry in Dashun must die in order to squeeze out the domestic market.If there is no market, what kind of industry and commerce will be developed.

If one female textile worker starved to death in Manchester, there would be an extra non-agricultural population in Dashun.

Dashun can only rely on overseas trade to hold back industrial and commercial development.And counting on the domestic market, if it develops today, it will be promoted by the insurgents tomorrow, and it is obvious that it cannot beat the [-] million small farmers.

(End of this chapter)