Xinshun 1730

Chapter 1450 "Emperor" ([-])
Small farmers are the foundation of Dashun.

As long as the foundation does not collapse, broken pillars can be replaced, and broken wall stones can be painted with mud.

And if the foundation collapsed, the entire building, including the chairs inside, would collapse.

On weekdays, the foundation can be stepped on, not as elegant as the coiled dragon on the pillar, not as good as the intrigue of the roof and eaves, and not as good as the window lattice that needs to be wiped from time to time.

However, when the foundation is shaken, the ground shakes and the mountains shake.

This point, the Dashun court is very clear.Because the Li family of Dashun climbed out of the cracks in the previous foundation before.

However, with the end of the Little Ice Age, the introduction of American crops, and the gradual stabilization of the northern frontier, this foundation has become increasingly unstable.

Therefore, the emperor also needed to fill in the foundation, repair the foundation, and tidy the foundation from time to time.

This requires money, food, and supplies.

Including relief, redemption, return of land, reduction of labor, repair of the Yellow River, repair of roads to facilitate grain transportation, etc., these are all operations of "repairing the constantly damaged foundation and continuing for a few more years".

In the words of Lao Ma: In an agricultural country with extensive small-scale peasant economy, the bourgeoisie is still disabled enough to rule, the workers have not yet had enough strength to step onto the stage, the handicraftsmen, petty bourgeoisie themselves are not too powerful, and the old aristocracy In an empire that is not strong enough—the emperor acts as the patriarchal benefactor of all classes.But he cannot give something to one class without taking something from another.

Now, the old, new, and newly emerged different classes in Dashun all have their own demands.

Industry and commerce hope to prosper like flowers in a greenhouse under a strong government. They demand stability and external expansion.

And, if possible, I hope that the imperial court can open up the internal market instead of forcing them to work overseas.

Since it is said that the emperor wants the emperor to act as the patriarchal benefactor of all classes.But at the same time, without taking something from one class, one cannot give something to another class.

Then, the emperor must not be able to satisfy all the demands of industry and commerce.

Only half satisfied.

Such as stability, expansion, protection.

However, for the other half, such as opening up the internal market, relaxing internal customs duties, and allowing more goods to impact those small farmers in the interior along the Yangtze River, official roads, and canals, the emperor will definitely not agree.

This is especially the case after the prince's radical industrial and commercial policies in Hubei were messed up.

It follows, then, that "the result of trying to be the patriarchal benefactor of all classes is that no class is dissatisfied."

However, for the time being, this kind of dissatisfaction, especially the dissatisfaction of the emerging class, can still be suppressed.

The means of suppression is the previous external expansion, which took over vast colonies, spheres of influence, and the world market.

This is also the reason why Dashun's industrial and commercial output value can continue to increase without temporarily disintegrating this set of things.

Obviously, India, Southeast Asia, African trade, European trade, and neighboring North Korea, Japan, etc., are smooth enough to maintain a set of extremely high-speed industrial development.

History has proven this.

In the era of steam engines, this large colony and sphere of influence can support at least 500 million non-agricultural factory industry population.

Although, this number is not too much compared to the population of at least 8000 to [-] million in Shandong, Jiangsu, and Northeast China, which were regarded as foreign by the emperor's internal and external division methods.

However, this also shows that according to historical experience, especially the historical experience of Britain as the sun never sets but before the Opium War—that is, without considering the East Asian market.

Dashun still has a lot of room for development to the point where it “needs to have more markets”.

This huge space ensures that Dashun's annual industrial output value will maintain an explosive growth rate, and it will probably not be a problem if it grows for more than ten or twenty years.

From this, it can be seen that the two limitations of this set of things: precious metals and the speed of industrial development, will not be a big problem for at least 20 years.

So, this is a theoretically feasible solution.

As for whether the Dashun court has the ability to guarantee a large amount of precious metals within ten years—including gold and silver mines on the west coast of North America and Australian gold mines, after all, there must be a new gold mine before San Francisco, and the reason why San Francisco Old, because the new Jinshan is Melbourne - under the premise of frantically pouring into the country, ensuring stable prices, successful currency reform, hot money will not flow to the land, and a large amount of money will not fly to the mainland to hoard land and open pawnshops...

This is not a theoretical question.

This is a question of capacity.

Whether it can be done is another matter.

In any case, this is a risky game.

Money, even precious metals, of course the more the better, but if there is too much money in a short period of time, there will definitely be big problems.

After all, when the money comes in, it must be spent.

As for gold mines, silver mines, foreign trade surplus, etc., with so much silver flowing in, silver will definitely depreciate relatively.

The relative depreciation of silver, these people who hold silver in their hands will think about spending the silver.

And there are not many people with silver in their hands.Even if they are so extravagant that they have to carve firewood for cooking at home, drink flower wine every day, and order oirans every day, it is impossible to spend so much on living expenses.

Since you can't spend so much on living consumption, and silver is obviously depreciating, it must be invested.

Moreover, no matter how you say it, even if you talk about it, buying land is still the safest investment with the highest rate of return and the best risk aversion for Dashun at this time.

This, even a woman like Qin Keqing knows.

In addition to buying land, the next most important items are obviously not building factories, repairing water conservancy projects, or improving land.

That's all... Shaanxi businessmen have set an example in Sichuan before, opening pawnshops and lending usury.

Next, it is speculation, hoarding, reselling, and hype.

This is not a new thing. Over the past thousand years, there have been many people who know how to play this trick.The salt government in the previous dynasty even played new tricks on speculation and hoarding; after the reform of ticket law in the Manchu Qing Dynasty in history, there was a phenomenon of "raising stocks to buy tickets, hoarding tickets without selling salt, and selling tickets to make a difference." " operation.

These things don't need to be taught at all.

This is the problem of too free capital flow.

Moreover, it has nothing to do with people being good or bad, or morality.It is purely a matter of the principle of market economy and the long legs of capital itself.

It is noble to start a business with money in order to create a new era.

If you have money to buy land and open a pawn shop, that is a normal pursuit of profit. Who makes this thing the most profitable.

Such is the case.

Reality is such a reality.

Immediately, within ten years, about 2000 million taels of gold and two to three billion taels of silver may be poured into the "explosive currency increase". The reform has made the land price under the policy of labor tax and land binding-these hot money are enough to buy the total area of ​​cultivated land in Shandong Province.

Things have to be viewed dialectically.

The influx of a large amount of precious metals in a short period of time is the basis for Dashun to complete the currency reform, at least to complete the silver standard.

Dashun itself has neither gold nor silver, and even copper had to be imported from Japan, otherwise the issuance of copper coins would be a problem, and the lessons learned from the previous banknotes were too great to directly play with government-credited banknotes.

Without a large amount of precious metals that could influx in a short period of time, there would be no chance to complete the reform of the silver standard, or the gold and silver double standard.

This reform is of course beneficial to small farmers.

At the very least, the fire consumption problem, the copper-silver exchange problem, and the problem of speculators manipulating the silver price can all be alleviated to a certain extent.

Landlords and government officials are not the only ones who suck the blood of small farmers. Businessmen are also very happy to suck the silver in their hands and control the exchange rate.

If the currency reform can be completed, theoretically Dashun can be regarded as having its own central bank.

In theory, Dashun also has the qualifications to formulate monetary policy.

It can also be regarded as ushering in the new era for Dashun, giving the court an extra hand and an extra means of regulation.

As for whether it will be adjusted, whether it can be adjusted, or whether it will be adjusted, that is another matter.

Fortunately, Dashun's money flows in a single direction.

In addition to the export of industrial products, the rest, such as tea and silk, are basically located in places where transportation is relatively convenient and at least food prices can be stabilized.After all, Dashun is not short of food. Naturally, Nanyang and Southeast Asia’s commodity grains can also be counted as Dashun’s food. What is lacking is an efficient logistics method.

But in the tea-producing and silk-producing areas, they are basically still within the circle of stable grain transportation.

The rest, such as foreign trade such as cotton cloth, basically do not participate in the internal circulation.

Cotton comes from Java, India, and northern Jiangsu; the market goes to Southeast Asia, India, Africa, Europe, Northeast China, North Korea, and Japan.

In general, basically, it may be possible to achieve rapid industrial development in the two coastal provinces without harming small farmers in the interior.

Of course, this is not a matter of course.

Because, what will happen naturally should be the accelerated merger of Dashun, the soaring land price, and the uprising of refugees.

However, the rapid development of industry and commerce is precisely sailing against the current, and it is a matter of course.

This requires feudal rulers with extremely high wrists.

Of course, this also includes a more brutal squeeze on colonies and spheres of influence.

In any case, the old small-scale peasant economy must be dismantled, and tens of millions of families with men farming and women weaving must be used as sacrifices to allow industry and commerce to develop.

Not as a sacrifice to one's own family.

You have to sacrifice someone else's family.

If the small-scale peasant economy is dominated and industry and commerce are to be developed, that kind of "Bonapartism" will basically appear.

And Bonapartism is bound to easily slide toward external expansion.

In view of the continued development of industry and commerce, the market must continue to be sought.

Without considering the complete reform, bloodshed, turmoil, and finally the big change that touches the ownership system in Dashun.

Either let go of the internal market and let the first-developing regions "colonize" the later-developing regions.

Or, to expand abroad, to transform Japan, India, North Korea, Southeast Asia and other places in accordance with the wishes of capitalism.

Even if "colonization" is put in quotation marks, in this era, that is, the transition period of the handicraft and industrial age, colonization is not just "dumping commodities and dismantling the small peasant economy"-it is semi-colonial.

But the real colonies will fall directly into what Lao Ma said, "commercial hegemony in the handicraft era, and the robbery system brought about by commercial hegemony."

Semi-colonial, mainly dumping goods.

The colony is to buy land, go deep into the countryside to lend usury, financial speculation, price manipulation, price manipulation, and financial robbery.

Dashun's current situation is indeed suitable for Bonapartism.

After all, the centralization of power has not collapsed, and Dashun has a complete set of state machinery, although not very powerful, but with basically complete parts.

Bonapartism is not something that any cat or dog can play. Without a complete set of state machinery, it must not be able to play.

Bonapartism in France is not something that just comes out of nowhere.

It was also from the centralization of power in the old system that started with Louis XIV, to the French Revolution, the Jacobin Land Reform, and the strengthening of centralization by the Emperor Nazarene.

In view of the farmers in Dashun, in essence, their situation is not like the French farmers before the French Revolution, but more like the French farmers in Nasan.

At the same time, small farmers themselves were the foundation of the Dashun Dynasty, and the development of the new era forced the emperor to develop industry and commerce, which gave Dashun a good foundation for doing this.

It is naturally impossible for the emperor to know what Bonaparte is by reading scriptures.After all, even if you get one, it will take another two years to be born.

However, not knowing the name does not mean that you will not follow this line of thinking.

After all, there are not many paths to choose from.

There is no way to retreat, it is impossible to be quiet, and it is difficult to advance. If you don’t choose this way, there is really no way.

Fortunately, taking advantage of the fact that the emperor was still in his prime and Liu Yu was not old, he first won the battle against Southeast Asia and India.Most likely, even if Dashun's prince is too low-level, it is estimated that he will not be able to fight at the level of the Sedang Battle, sending away Dashun's colony and sphere of influence in one wave.

As long as they don't send them away, in theory, Dashun can still leave an industrial population of 500 million people on the premise of ensuring that the small farmers in the interior will not collapse and cause chaos.At least, the industrial population and industrial output value of Britain in 1840.

(End of this chapter)