Xinshun 1730

Chapter 1209 It's All Good, No Bad
"My father once said that there are advantages and disadvantages in everything. The Duke of the state thought that if this road leads to the common people in the society, how much will it benefit? How many disadvantages?"

The prince felt that there was no need to relay some words to Liu Yu.Moreover, it is best not to spread the things that the emperor and him said in private.

But the Crown Prince didn't think that Liu Yu didn't understand. He reckoned that among the people in the court who could understand these things, those who knew knew it without talking about it, and those who didn't understand it didn't necessarily understand it even if they said it.

Regarding the influence on the rule and suppression, the prince only felt that the person in front of him must understand.If you understand it, then there is no need to talk about it.

Liu Yu frowned and thought about this question, thought for a while, and replied: "Your Highness asked this... If you really want to talk about pros and cons..."

"Except for the functions of relief, transporting troops, and famine relief, it is really hard to say."

"But only looking at the functions of relief, transporting troops, and famine relief, the convenience is enough to build this road."

"As for the development of industry and commerce, this...well, it is good for mining. Other than that, it's hard to say."

It's not that he wants to avoid the topic of "the impact of the influx of goods from the Songsu Pioneering Area on the traditional small-scale peasant economy in the interior".

The main thing is that this matter is really hard to say.

Industry and commerce are actually like that.Low cost, cheap raw materials, competitive.

Dashun's traditional textile industry, weaving, is extremely tenacious.

Cooperating with Dashun's India strategy, this will create a particularly interesting situation.

If the railway is built, cotton and yarn are transported from India, and then sold along the railway, the original cotton planting industry in Dashun can basically be completely wiped out.

If everything is not normal, the sea transportation has not risen so early, and the Songsu area of ​​Dashun has not completed the first development, if this railway is built under such circumstances, it is really possible that the industrial and commercial development and transformation of some cities along the line have already occurred.

For example, in the Hebei region, it is entirely possible to grow cotton, weave cloth, and sell it in Inner Mongolia and Kanto.Of course, this will form a not-so-small industrial chain, not to mention enriching many people, but at least three or five counties will have a thriving industry and commerce, so there is no problem.

But in the current situation, it is hard to say.

The cotton cloth market in the Northeast is Songsu's private land. Even if Hebei starts to grow cotton now, it can't compete with Songsu.

The Mongolian area is similar, cotton cloth and the like go to Tianjin, to the capital, and then to Zhangjiakou.

Therefore, it is basically impossible for Hebei to develop the cotton textile industry.

After all, the prerequisite for building this road is that Dashun captured India.The capture of India means that Liu Yu will find ways to turn India into raw materials.

India's cotton output and cotton yarn output are in the hands of Songsu Capital Group.

Of course, Dashun's situation is very special. Basically, it doesn't move much when selling cloth.

Because under the conditions of the small-scale peasant economy, the leisure labor time of rural women can almost be regarded as "free".

Theoretically, as long as flowers are a little cheaper than cloth, they must consider buying cotton and weaving their own cloth, even if it is only a little cheaper.Because labor is worthless, it is impossible to increase output if idle, so even if there is only a small profit, they will try to buy cotton and cotton yarn as much as possible, and they are unlikely to buy cloth unless they have to.

The Songsu area is one step ahead, and controls the raw materials. In addition, it has been firmly grasping the private plots of the Northeast and Mongolia markets over the years.

Therefore, under such circumstances, Liu Yu found it difficult to develop the textile industry in Hebei.

Further down in Henan... as far as cash crops are concerned, they are actually not bad.Plant some sesame seeds, some soybeans, etc., and you can almost sell them.

After crossing the Yellow River, if you really go to Hankou and Jianghan area, it's hard to say.

The key lies in the extent of Songsu Capital Group's robbery in India.

As long as the price of cotton is lower than that in Hankou, it is wishful thinking to grow cotton in Hankou.

Historically, the cotton planting industry in Hankou area had a short-term development, but the premise of this development was that India was a British colony, and Britain and Europe were in the stage of high-speed industrialization, which caused the price of cotton to increase day by day, which led to The development of cotton planting industry in Hankou area.

The problem is that in Liu Yu's view, even if the group of people in Dashun in the Nanyang Protectorate lose their wits overnight, it is a certainty that India will be taken down.

In this case, the price of cotton, at least in China, is not expensive at all.

Now that railways can be repaired and locomotives can be built, it is actually closer to steamships.The "distance" from Hankou to Songsu area will be shortened a lot.

In this case, is it more cost-effective to buy cotton yarn from Songsu and build a textile factory in Hankou?
Or is it more cost-effective to directly dry the textile factory in Songsu and sell it to Hankou?
This is not a market issue, but a question of how local officials see it.

In other words, is it possible for Dashun to have domestic tariffs in the future?
What is the attitude of the imperial government?

Is it to support a unified national market?

Or should we maintain the tariffs of various places and maintain the interests of all places?
But it is actually possible to elaborate on whether this railway can promote the development of a commodity economy along the way.The key here is how the emperor viewed cash crops.

This kind of saying is called: In order to prevent the common people from growing cash crops such as cotton, sesame, and tobacco instead of growing food, this may lead to food shortages.Therefore, let go of tariffs on raw materials, let Indian cotton and cotton yarn be dumped inward, and impact the country's cotton planting industry.

In the eyes of the emperor, right?
Going a little further, domestic tariffs are levied on the cloth produced in Songsu; Indian cotton and cotton yarn from Songsu are exempted from tariffs, and a large amount enters Hankou and is transported along the Yangtze River and this railway.

right?
This is the irreconcilable contradiction between the emerging class and the emperor.

Lao Ma said that the real task of the bourgeoisie is to establish a world market (at least an outline) and production based on this market.

So, is the Mainland part of the world?

If it is here, it is impossible for the bourgeoisie in Songsu to want inland tariffs.

They will try to wipe out the fledgling textile industry in Hankou, use their cloth to completely defeat the cotton textile industry in Jianghan area, and pull it into their market.

This is obvious.

Because whether it is fighting for capital, fighting for gold and silver, fighting for raw material control, or fighting for the first start, the Jianghan area must not be able to compete with Dashun's "silver money issuance" land.

On the other hand, Dashun’s unique economic structure and labor prices that exceed the limits of small farmers make the “cotton yarn mechanization” envisioned by Liu Yu an industrialization that has the least impact on small farmers in Dashun.

A large amount of cotton, cotton yarn, etc. have entered the Jianghan area, and the Jianghan area will definitely welcome it.Because labor is so cheap, it's not a matter of choice.

It's not that I earn 20 for this and 10 for that, so I will do it for 20.

Rather, if I don't weave, what should I do?There is only so little land, even if you lick it with your tongue, you can't get two catties more per mu. Large-scale water conservancy projects are not capable of small farmers.So buy some cotton yarn and knead it into cloth yourself, as long as it is cheaper than buying cloth directly; if you can sell it, that's even better.

So, let’s go a little deeper into this matter, that is to say: it is not impossible to levy domestic tariffs on cloth; then, can Songsu’s capital enter the interior?

If possible, is it okay to buy land and stockpile it?

With Dashun's level of organization and governance, can he "only allow factories to be opened and not buy land"?
If the issue of the land system is not resolved, it will be full of troubles.

If it doesn't work, isn't this encouraging local division and confrontation, and generating local forces?

Once local powers emerge, they will inevitably think about sticking to the provincial boundaries to prevent foreign goods from impacting them.When it's time to let go, it's likely to be a bloodbath, and the local forces may have to go alone.

It's not that Liu Yu looked down on the prince, the prince can't solve any of these matters.

The current situation in Dashun is that the original accumulation is no problem, the technology is also available, and the world market and raw material production areas are also stabilized.

The problem of semi-feudal and semi-colonial is the compradorization of national capital, a bunch of waste, weak and lacking in strength.

But this thing has enough power, but it doesn't mean that it can transition smoothly and without injury.

On the other hand, if this thing is powerful enough, doesn't it mean that the destruction of the small peasant economy is accelerating?

In the final analysis, there are about [-] million or [-] million small farmers. They are human beings, and they have a strong tradition of resistance.

Can you tell them that for the development of great capitalism, you should starve to death obediently.

It can be said, but the hand is in the hands of others, and it is normal for them to cut wood into soldiers, turn around and go to the Dabie Mountains.

The logic here is that in the semi-feudal colonial state, the national capital is weak, and they cannot bear the burden; but for small farmers and tenant farmers, what is the difference?
So of course Liu Yu is very supportive of domestic tax-free lijin, and very much hopes to shock the rural areas to the point of widespread bankruptcy and the complete impoverishment of small landlords.Forced out an earth-shaking condition.

The harder the pressure, the deeper the monetized taxation, and the more impact of cheap goods, the higher the rent for growing grain will be.

In Songsu, the tenants couldn't take it anymore, and they generally quit their tenants.Either work, or go to Kanto and Nanyang as a contract slave.In one province, there are also provincial salt taxes, Jiangxi porcelain foreign trade silver, Fujian tea foreign trade silver, silk foreign trade silver, etc., but also rely on the sea, which can be solved.

In the mainland, they can't afford to work, and they can't afford to go to Nanyang or Kanto.

Theoretically, the Dashun court could also solve this matter theoretically.According to a population of one hundred thousand a year who migrates out, it is guaranteed that the per capita land of the self-cultivating farmers will be [-] to [-] mu. This will definitely make the transition easier.

With [-] to [-] acres of land per capita, they will not go bankrupt, and they can survive. The transformation is very simple, and it can quickly expand the internal market and promote the development of industry and commerce.

The reality is...not so much.

Or, eliminate landlords, abolish land rent, and engage in land equalization.It is also possible to ensure that each farmer has a certain amount of land. In this case, the transformation can also be completed and the goal of industrialization can be clarified.

But Liu Yu looked at the prince and felt that these two things... the prince really couldn't do it.

The crown prince asked him what he thought of the railway, and Liu Yu could only say that it was all good and nothing bad.

You see, it not only guarantees the sale of cash crops, cotton raw materials, etc. along the route, but also enables the people to "follow their own needs" and not grow these cash crops, lest there is not enough food to eat.

It can also ensure that in addition to famine, relief can be provided, which is beneficial to the rule of the court.

Anyway, you can't see the big problem, and you can't solve it.

(End of this chapter)