Spark

Huaxia didn't know the plan that Henning was preparing, and of course, it was impossible to take any countermeasures against it.

In fact, academic correctness and falsehood are a pure intellectual collision, and at some point, it can even be a conspiracy.

The key to success or failure does not lie in careful design and planning, but only in the academic level of both parties.

So in a sense, it is an aboveboard duel.

The winner can get a precious first-mover advantage, while the loser will usher in huge waste of resources and sunk costs.

However, in terms of academic discourse power, the United States still has a greater advantage, and the threat of the Henning plan is not low.

The conspiracy has gradually spread out, and the core of the storm seems to have been naturally determined before it even started.

Chen Nian.

Success or failure, he will occupy an irreplaceable position.

But now, he doesn't know anything about it.

——

Besides the Tinder Project, he was also busy with lasers.

This direction has been proposed a long time ago. It was originally planned to be launched in the research and development stage of 055, but considering that 055 already had electromagnetic guns, which consume a lot of power, and the current stage of laser weapons is relatively cost-effective. If it is low, the project will not be able to land.

But now, conditions are relatively mature in many aspects. The Shenguang Project is beginning to face technological upgrades. The second aircraft carrier is determined to be nuclear-powered. Coupled with the increasing demand for lasers in the domestic civil industry, Chen Nian finally decided to split a part of it. Come from the source, first solve the laser problem.

But after he really started to get in touch with it, he realized that this problem was really not as simple as he thought.

Whether it is semiconductor lasers, solid-state lasers, or fiber lasers, there are actually only three mainstream research directions at present.

That is, wavelength extension, high power, short pulse.

Among them, the wavelength expansion direction mainly involves mid-infrared technology. Due to the weak Rayleigh scattering of its wavelength band, this kind of laser is very suitable as a light source for long-distance communication, and it is a relatively popular direction in the capital market.

In terms of high power, it is mainly aimed at the military industry and large-scale industrial fields.

Needless to say, inertial confinement fusion and laser weapons with high destructive performance are the most cutting-edge application directions.

As for short-pulse lasers, they are mainly used in finishing and medical fields—the most typical, so-called femtosecond surgery, is the product of this technology.

There is no distinction between these three directions, they just represent different application prospects.

Logically speaking, Chen Nian should give priority to the high-power direction, after all, this is a direction that is directly related to the follow-up military projects.

But here comes the problem:

The three directions directly do not have much technical compatibility. If Chen Nian chooses high power, the other two directions will stagnate to some extent.

Because resources are limited, in the same technical field, when a certain direction is flourishing, it will be like a big tree that grows first, robbing other directions of sunlight, water and nutrients.

At the same time, it can't bring enough economic value and social benefits, and it will easily cause the entire industry to fall into the so-called new technology trap.

This is a paradox.

Chen Nian really couldn't make a choice, and in the end he had no choice but to call together experts from related industries through Chen Guo and organize a discussion.

As the current leader in the field of economics, Chen Feiyun will naturally not be absent, and his views are exactly the same as those of Chen Nian.

".So Xiao Nian's idea is actually right. In the past few years, almost all of our resources have been invested in the military industry, which has indeed brought us a major security advantage, but if you go outside Take a look, and you will easily discover a fact."

"That is, the rate at which people's economic capabilities improve cannot keep up with the overall growth rate of the national economy."

"—Well, let me put it bluntly, it's not that I can't catch up, but it's too far behind."

"It is undeniable that due to the increase in our international influence, some people have indeed achieved 'getting rich first', but who are the most important of these people?"

"It's those who already have relatively abundant resources and a relatively solid economic foundation."

"That is, we've succeeded in moving some parts of the middle class toward the rich, but what about the rest?"

"The improvement of their lives is relatively limited."

"You can't expect to completely close the gap with just a few large infrastructure projects."

Speaking of this, Chen Feiyun paused for a moment, and after confirming that other people had no objections, he continued:

"Let me give another very simple example."

"Before, we had high hopes for the Yishan project. Of course, in fact, this project has indeed promoted the rapid development of our large-scale machinery industry and promoted the progress of domestic infrastructure."

"However, if we draw our attention to the place, we will find a very strange phenomenon."

"That is, the poor don't get rich."

"Why? Theoretically speaking, with the input of huge resources, every individual should be given meat. Even if there is no meat, at least there must be a mouthful of soup."

"The reason is simple: the top-down development model is too large for asset-heavy, high-tech emerging industries, which has seriously widened the existing gap."

"Xiao Nian, do you still remember Luojiao Village?"

"That village itself is rich in resources, both in terms of medicinal materials and fruits, they all have natural endowments."

"We once thought that after the road was built, the economy there would break through, especially if there was a grassroots leader with strong capabilities."

"However, this idea is wrong."

"After the road was completed, businessmen with economic strength in the surrounding counties quickly poured in."

"People's lives have indeed been improved to a certain extent, but compared with the wealth growth of those businessmen, this number is too small."

"So, I have said so much, but there is actually only one question I want to argue."

"That is, we must believe that the industry has a long-tail effect, but we must not naively think of relying entirely on the long-tail effect for development."

"Sometimes we need to start from the end, from that tail."

After Chen Feiyun finished speaking, everyone present fell silent.

Yes, his argument actually has no direct or specific connection with the laser technology direction to be discussed now.

But who's to say his argument isn't strong enough?

In fact, anyone who is qualified to sit here can basically see what Chen Feiyun said.

But the problem is that the urgency of this fact has never been shown.

After a long time, someone raised his hand and said:

"The problem Mr. Chen said is true, and it cannot be denied."

"But here, I want to raise an objection."

"I mean, shouldn't such a problem be solved from a policy point of view, rather than a technical point of view?"

Hearing his words, everyone nodded in agreement.

Indeed, more comprehensive market management, more scientific policy guidance and longer-term underlying planning are all good ways to solve this problem. Perhaps from some perspectives, this problem does not need to be addressed at the level of "technology". consider.

The return of technology to technology, this is the principle that Xinghuo has been emphasizing, and so far, this principle seems to have never made a mistake?

Chen Feiyun smiled slightly and replied:

"Of course, of course, this is also our responsibility to do economics."

"But the problem now is that there are no advantages or disadvantages among the several optional technical directions."

"If we talk about high-power lasers, the overall benefits that can be brought far exceed the other two directions, then don't hesitate, we will definitely choose this direction."

"But the fact is, Xiao Nian also said just now, and everyone has discussed it, the comprehensive income of the three directions, theoretically, there is not much difference."

"Especially in the direction of high-power lasers, if we want to engage in nuclear fusion, we already have a more mature EAST project."

"To engage in laser weapons, our current hypersonic missiles still have considerable advantages, and the demand for laser systems is not so high."

"Compared to the other two directions, its urgency can even be said to be lower."

"On the contrary, when it comes to short pulse and mid-infrared, everyone can casually name a few industries that are eagerly waiting for these technologies."

"Finishing, medical treatment, and communication, right?"

"Compared to the high-power route, those two aspects are more sinking."

After the words fell, everyone fell into deep thought again.

Obviously, Chen Feiyun's words did not directly convince everyone present. After all, not everyone looked at this issue from an economic perspective, but continued the "inertia" of the Xinghuo Group in the military industry.

In the eyes of everyone, stretching the long board as much as possible is the correct choice a priori, and blindly adjusting the strategy may bring bad results.

However, from Chen Feiyun's words, Chen Nian saw some risks that he had overlooked.

Yes, the deactivation of the lower-level economy will lead to a series of problems, and the cost of correcting these problems is not as simple as "a few policies" that many people think.

Moreover, the principle of "technology belongs to technology" does not apply here.

In today's world, technology has become the strongest driving force for development. When considering any development plan, it is impossible to separate it from the outside

He sat in a corner of the office, silently thinking about every detail of what Chen Feiyun said just now, and he couldn't help feeling his forward vision as an economist.

You know, it's only 2010 now.

This thought, what are we experiencing?

The economy is booming, the overseas market is booming, the basic wage level is gradually rising, the urbanization process is accelerating, and the speed of new technology popularization is far faster than before.

Such a scene, in the eyes of most people, is definitely thriving.

——

According to Chen Nian's experience in the previous life, although such a trend contains risks, it is not enough to shake the foundation.

But now?

A key variable has emerged, and that is your own system.

Or to put it another way, it is a "resource white hole" where "key resource increments can be obtained without consuming initial social resources".

This thing seems to have only advantages and no disadvantages, but in fact, the impact it brings is something that humans have never experienced before.

It's not changing the world, it's...reshaping the world.

Therefore, in this process, every risk must be taken seriously.

Otherwise, by the time the breeze caused by the flapping of the butterfly's wings develops into a tropical storm, it will be too late to say anything.

After all, technology cannot be eaten directly. The core of this world lies in the factor of "people"

"Is it possible that we choose a compromise?"

"For example, if you choose a technology, can you take into account the development of several directions at the same time?"

"Or let's not make it so complicated, it's not impossible to push it directly and synchronously?"

In the corner, someone raised his hand and asked.

Chen Nian's eyes lit up, and he suddenly remembered that this thing seems to have a non-conflicting route.

Ten years later, the most mainstream technical direction for increasing laser power is coherent pulse stacking + fiber beam combining technology. In his memory, the equipment manufactured based on this technology has indeed detonated a wave of laser industry development. .

Compared with active prioritization, such a choice seems to be more in line with the law of technological development, and can also avoid the instability of technological form caused by human intervention to a certain extent.

Thinking of this, Chen Nian immediately began to conduct experiments in the system silently.

The basis for his judgment is very simple, that is to choose the most representative equipment in the three directions, and check the number of source points required for its analysis in turn.

Which one consumes the most source points means which direction has the highest technical complexity and covers the most technical combinations.

And the result was just as he expected, even when excluding huge equipment such as Shenguang 4 and only comparing with commercial equipment, YLS-1000 also won the first place with a source consumption of 120 points.

And the technology it uses is the official coherent pulse stacking + 8 fiber beam combining technology.

Chen Nianchang let out a long sigh of relief, and then said:

"I know what to do."

"Mr. Chen's thinking is correct --- but this issue is relatively macro, we still return to the specific technology."

"We still have to do high-power lasers, but we can't just do high-power lasers."

"Our goals need to be complex enough and comprehensive enough."

"Yes, it's not enough to rely on the long tail effect alone, but we can grow a thousand tails."