Chapter 37 100% probability of existence [three shifts]

Pan Dong was stunned.

What’s the meaning?

He rubbed his eyes and looked at the show carefully.

as predicted.

As Sun Zhiqing said, it is a popular science program.

only……



He is at this level in the professional field, so he still needs to watch a folk science program?

and.

This program, as soon as it opens, it says to calculate the existence of alien civilization?

For the first time, he felt that his old friend was teasing him.

It was just that after seeing Sun Zhiqing sitting on the sofa after the TV broadcast, he actually listened very seriously.

Frowning.

He also just be patient, wanting to see what medicine Sun Zhiqing sells in the gourd.

On TV, Qin Mu quickly started to calculate.

“First, let’s calculate the probability of the existence of alien civilization in this vast universe.”

“The currently known radius of the universe is about 46.5 billion light-years and 93 billion light-years in diameter. However…”

There was a pause.

Qin Mu turned around and wrote this number on the blackboard behind him.

“93 billion light-years is only the radius we can observe at present. In fact, the universe is far more than that.”

“In the vast universe, from the Milky Way alone, there are about 100 to 400 billion stars and a large number of star clusters and nebulae.”

“Conservative and rigorous estimates, we take the minimum value of this value and calculate it with 100 billion stars.”

“Excluding those star systems that are closer to the center of the Milky Way galaxy, there will be an average of at least three planets orbiting around other stars, and our solar system has eight.”

“To be conservative, we continue to take three to calculate, the number of planets in the Milky Way is about 300 billion.”

“Next, calculate the proportion of habitable planets. The habitable zone must be at a distance not too far away from the host star, because it needs sufficient light and water. This ratio is probably between 1% and 10%.”



“We also take the minimum value, 1% to calculate, the number of habitable planets is about 3 billion.”

Every time Qin Mu reads a number, he will write down the minimum value on the blackboard at the back.

This is the most conservative and cautious calculation method.

It is possible to calculate the minimum probability of the birth of an alien civilization in the universe.

“Of course, after becoming a habitable planet, it may not be able to form a planet of life. Venus, the earth, and Jupiter in the solar system are all habitable planets, but only the earth gives birth to life.”

“Next, let’s calculate the probability that life can be born out of habitable planets. According to our statistics, out of a thousand habitable planets, only 5 have the chance to give birth to life, and single-celled organisms will appear.”

“We take the value of five-thousandths, and after calculation, we find that the number of intelligent life planets is about 15 million.”

Qin Mu turned around and wrote down the five-thousandths ratio on the blackboard.

“After the birth of life, it takes a long time to evolve, and the modern international consensus believes that after the birth of intelligent life, it will inevitably embark on the road of science and technology. This possibility is as high as 90%.”

“We take 90% of the value and continue to calculate, and we get 13.5 million pieces.”

Speaking of which.

Qin Mu looked at the camera again and concluded: “In the Milky Way alone, there are 13.5 million planets that may develop technology, and it will take a longer time for the development of technological civilization to the out of the planet and into the universe.”

“The earth still has a history of 4.6 billion years. If we take 10 billion years to calculate, at least 10% of the 13.5 million planets have a lifespan of more than 10 billion years.”

“In other words, the number of civilizations that may exist in the Milky Way galaxy that can get out of their own planet is about 1.35 million!”

On the blackboard, Qin Mu wrote this number.

In front of the TV, the audience in the live broadcast room was dumbfounded.

This series of hard-core algorithms has once again opened their eyes.

And for each value, the smallest probability is taken.

but……

Still calculated 1.35 million alien civilizations!

In other words, in this world, the probability of the existence of alien civilization is 100%!

In the research institute.

When Ban Donglin saw Qin Mu writing 1.35 million figures on the blackboard, he couldn’t sit still anymore.

He stood up suddenly and looked at Sun Zhiqing beside him.

These algorithms…

There is nothing wrong with it.

Can calculate very clearly and clearly, the possibility of the existence of alien civilization.

And it is the most conservative estimate.

But a person who can master this kind of calculation ability is definitely a top-level talent, and it is impossible to be a host of a folk science program!

Even he was overwhelmed by scientific algorithms like Qin Mu.

Because he couldn’t find the loopholes in it.

“Old grandson, we have known each other for decades. Why did you come to me late at night?”

Take a deep breath.

With a solemn expression, Ban Donglin looked at Sun Zhiqing on the sofa.

Actually.

The existence of aliens is very likely to exist in the current international consensus.

But what confuses them is that no matter how they search, they can’t find any traces of aliens!

as if……

Everything has been artificially erased. *

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