Little Farmer Big Star

Soon, such a post appeared on the Tianya Community Children's Forum.

"Deeply analyze "The Wolf Is Coming" and quickly come to watch."

"The host just said that the fairy tale "The Wolf is Coming" has a hidden mystery. Now the host will come to analyze and analyze, are you all ready?"

"Owner, don't ink, hurry up!"

"Yes, don't talk so much nonsense!"

"It seems that the judges can't wait any longer, so let's go directly to the dry goods.

First, analyze the reason why the farmer did not go up the mountain for the third time from the perspective of probability.

The farmer heard the child shouting "The wolf is coming" three times in total.

The first time I heard it, because it was the first time I heard it. Out of trust, I thought it was true, so I went up the mountain.

The second time I heard it, the first time I was deceived, the farmer thought that the probability of being true was only one-half, but the probability was higher, so he went up the mountain again.

The third time I heard it, with the previous two being deceived, the farmer believed that the probability of being true was only one-third, and the probability was low. So there is no uphill.

To sum up the analysis: because the farmer has a simple and kind-hearted nature, he will give a helping hand in the first two trips to the mountain. However, he was very angry when he was fooled twice. In the third time it was difficult to distinguish the true from the false, the farmer thought the probability was low and did not go up the mountain.

This is actually an emotional factor, which influences his judgment on the value of behavior. He didn't go up the mountain for the third time.

This also shows that people have a selfish and indifferent side. "

"I admire the original poster, even the probability problem has come out."

"The original poster's analysis makes sense, but I don't agree with it. I don't think that the third time I went up the mountain was not because of human selfishness and indifference. After being cheated twice, everyone would think that the third time was also fake. The farmer did not go up the mountain. Understandable."

"Agree upstairs, the host is too arbitrary."

"The upstairs upstairs are right. It is understandable that the farmer did not go up the mountain. The only thing to blame is the bear kid himself."

"Don't worry, judges, you won't think so after this host finishes the analysis."

"Then the host, you just keep talking!"

"Yes, go ahead, let's watch."

"Hao Le, look at the officials, listen to this host continue to say.

We will now analyze according to the severity of the ending:

1. The third "wolf is coming" is true: the result will threaten the lives of children and sheep.

2. The third ‘wolf is coming’ was false: the result was just the loss of the farmer’s physical strength and time.

By comparing the severity of the results, we can see that the result of ‘2’ is insignificant compared to the result of ‘1’.

No matter how many times ‘2’ occurs, it cannot be compared with the occurrence of ‘1’ once.

Because life is the most precious.

Of course, we must educate our children to be honest; we must educate our children not to make jokes about important matters such as our own and other people's lives.

But what we need to see is that for adults, no one is perfect, and children cannot be ignored because of their lies and ignorance. No matter how many times you have been fooled, you should go to the rescue.

Because as long as it is true once, no matter how much energy and time we waste, it is worth it.

In my opinion, we should also realize that when our own or other people’s lives are threatened, and we cannot judge the authenticity, we would rather trust it and not trust it.

Okay, everyone. The original poster's analysis ends here. Not all of them are correct, you can discuss and discuss. "

"Oh, I completely kneel to the host, and a fairy tale can see so many things."

"The original poster really makes sense."

"In that case, does this fairy tale not only educate children, but also our parents?"

"Who is this author? Come out, I promise not to hit you."

"The author originally meant this, or did we think too much?"

"I picked up the magazine silently, ready to read it again."

"..."

Li Fan could only smile bitterly when he saw this.

You are indeed thinking too much.

What kind of people are there in this forum, and they have studied so thoroughly one by one. I also asked people not to write books well.

However, these are classics that have been passed down for thousands of years, and they are indeed worthy of your study.

As for the result, it doesn't matter.

Because no matter what the result is, there is no right or wrong. It's just that everyone's perception is different.

…

The provincial capital, in a high-end apartment.

A middle-aged man of about 40 years old, sitting on the sofa.

Holding a copy of "Fun Children" in his hand, he frowned slightly, as if thinking about something.

"Lao Yang, what are you thinking about?" a beautiful woman in her 30s came over and asked.

The middle-aged man raised the book in Yang's hand and said, "Oh, there are a few stories in it that are well written."

The beautiful woman was sitting on the sofa opposite, picking up an apple, shaving and saying: "You are talking about "The Tortoise and the Hare". The reviews on the Internet are also very good. I think, maybe he is Your opponent."

The middle-aged man smiled faintly, and said: "Opponent? It's too early to say this. But it's just a few excellent short stories. Sometimes only one inspiration is enough for short stories. See how the quality of his next issue is. ."

"Really?" Beautiful woman asked: "Then if he is really qualified to be your opponent, what are you going to do?"

The middle-aged man snorted coldly: "What should I do? Just hit him until he is no longer qualified to become my opponent."

The beautiful woman secretly said, as expected.

"But he is just a rookie."

The middle-aged man shook his head and said, "In my eyes, there are only opponents and no newcomers. Moreover, since he can become my opponent, it means that he is not an ordinary newcomer."

After the middle-aged man said, he got up and walked in the direction of the study.

The beautiful woman looked at the middle-aged man's back and sighed softly.

He only has fairy tales and opponents in his eyes. If anyone can become his opponent, he will desperately beat his opponent.

He would do this for two reasons. One is because he does not allow it, and his current status as the first person in fairy tales is threatened; the other is that he also regards this as his only pleasure. As for how the outside world would evaluate it, he never cared.

As long as the outside world recognizes his status as the first person in fairy tales, that's enough.

"Hey, if he can let go of the vanity of the first person in the fairy tale, he may have achieved greater achievements in the future than he is now."

The beautiful woman can only sigh in her heart.

Middle-aged people came to the study room, and most of the books in it were related to fairy tales.

Lit a cigarette, he continued to read "Fun Children" in his hand.

"From these fairy tales, you are a genius writer. I hope you can really become my opponent. I have been lonely for a long time. My long fairy tale, which has been prepared for many years, has been waiting for an opponent. Now, It will finally appear."

This middle-aged man is Yang Jie, who is also known as the "Little Fairy Tale King".

This is what the outside world calls him.

Most of his colleagues call him a "fairy tale lunatic", and they have mixed opinions on him.

…

In the qd group of "Sunshine Author".

"What do you think of the new author of Funwei?" Several authors in this group all switched jobs from Funwei to Sunshine a year ago.

"It's okay. Fun is probably counting on him now."

"I didn't expect the fun to really come alive."

"It's too early to come alive, he can still hold up the sky as a newcomer."

"If he can really hold up the sky, someone will make him unable to hold up."

"I see, this may be just a conspiracy by Tang Quan. Those fairy tales were not written by the man named Li Fan at all. They were bought at a high price by Tang Quan who did not know where. He deliberately said that he was a newcomer. The author’s work is to arouse the topic of entertainment. This is a good method used by their magazine creators."

"Yes, what Lao Yang said makes sense, I see, this is the last struggle of Fun."

"I'm talking about a few brothers, we are also the author who came out of interest anyway. Isn't that a bit unnatural to say that?"

"Hehe, we are just talking about things, just talking."

"Just talk about it, I just can't get used to the re-emergence of fun, what's the matter?"

"..."

No one speaks anymore. Although the same author comes from the taste, everyone's mind is different.

Some people are grateful, some have no feelings, and some have resentments, hoping that the other party will immediately stop publishing or go bankrupt.

…

At this time, another group of sunshine authors was discussing the same thing.

"Does everyone think that Fun can turn around?"

"I don't know if Fun can turn around. It has nothing to do with us. I only know that these fairy tales are really good."

"Yeah, I can't believe it was written by a newcomer. I don't know if it's true."

"When this newcomer grows up, I'm afraid he will become a'fairy tale king' again!"

"That's true. It's a pity that some people may not let him grow up."

"Hey, I said that if you have time to talk about this, it is better to study the work of the newcomer. More code and more braille will earn more manuscript fees."

"That's right, I've studied the work of that newcomer several times. Don't say it, you really found some inspiration."

"Under study."

"Hey, take a look at my "Poisonous Mushroom," and everyone can give me some suggestions."

"..."

…

Thanks to every friend for their collection, recommendation, and reward. Thank you!