Book of the Otherworld

Chapter 14 Ning Wenrui's Death Theory
"Why did I do this summoning ceremony? Hehe, isn't that obvious, I want to gain power!" Xiao Zhen showed a trace of determination on his face, "One's fate should be in one's own hands, you think I like to be an individual Are you the rich second generation in China? That’s right, being a rich second generation is very cool, you don’t have to worry about money, you can do whatever you want easily, and you don’t have to look for a job.

But I'm not reconciled, I'm not reconciled to living under my father's shadow all my life, I don't want to be a dandy in the eyes of others who only lives off my rich father, I'm not used to what achievements I have made, how many degrees I have won One, in the eyes of others, it's just because I have a good father, and they will say, hey, if I also have such a wealthy father, if I have so many resources to train me, then I can do it too.

I don't want to go on like this for the rest of my life, I want to achieve more, I want to surpass my father, but with my current situation, it is obviously impossible, but now this book of alien world has given me An opportunity, think about the benefits that this book can bring, for such benefits, it is worthwhile to gamble once even at the cost of your life, no matter what you think, I will seize it anyway. "

Xing Tianyu heard the determination in Xiao Zhen's heart. From the bottom of his heart, he himself very much hopes to obtain such power. Who in this era does not have some fantasies about supernatural abilities in his heart?It would be great if he could get himself a spell or something, but what happened in his childhood weighed on his heart like a shadow, making him unable to say anything in agreement.

"Actually, we can use dialectics to look at this issue." Ning Wenrui said suddenly at this moment.

I saw several people looking at him.

Ning Wenrui smiled confidently, and began to talk: "First of all, there are two possibilities for this matter, true or false. Let's assume that each of the two possibilities has a 50% probability."

"If the summoning technique is fake, then the result of our summoning ceremony will fail. In this way, we naturally don't have to worry about any danger, and just treat it as a special experience."

"Conversely, if the summoning technique is true, then there are also two possibilities. The first possibility is that the summoning technique is working normally, and what we want is summoned. According to the book, the existing summoning technique is very safe. Reliable, let's call it a 90% chance.

The second possibility is that there is an abnormality in the summoning technique. According to the book, the probability is extremely low, let's consider it a 10% probability.

That is to say, when we summon, the possibility of abnormality in the end is only one-tenth of 50%, that is, 5%.

And even if there is an abnormality in the summoning technique, there will be two results.

The first possibility is that although the summoned creatures are not what we want to summon, they are also easy to deal with. 50% chance.

The second possibility is that the summoned thing is not what we want to summon, and it is very dangerous. 50% chance.

According to this calculation, if we perform a summoning ceremony, there is only a 2.5% chance that an abnormality will eventually occur and a very dangerous alien creature will be summoned.

And what would happen if a dangerous alien creature was really summoned?Then there are two possible results.

The first possibility: We can't beat that thing, and then wipe it all out.

The second possibility: Although that thing is very dangerous, we still killed that alien creature.

From this point of view, the chance of death for us to perform a summoning ceremony is only 1.25%, does it sound less scary? "

After hearing this, Xing Tianyu really didn't know what to say. What he said was so reasonable that he was speechless. Moreover, after listening to Ning Wenrui's analysis, he felt that the danger had indeed been reduced a lot, but he still felt that there was something wrong with it. look.

Before he had time to refute, Xiao Zhen patted Ning Wenrui on the shoulder and said, "Haha, it's better that Wenrui understands the truth, and besides, we don't summon those powerful things, just pick the weakest one." .”

Xiao Zhengang said a few words, but Ning Wenrui immediately interrupted him.

"Wait a minute, I haven't finished yet. Although theoretically speaking, the fatality rate of the first summoning ceremony is only 1.25%, which seems very low, but from the second time onwards, it has increased to 2.5%, because it is very simple. Reason, if the summoning technique is real, then there is no 50% possibility of failure of the summoning ceremony.

And assuming that the fatality rate of each summoning ritual is 2.5%, in theory, as long as forty summons are performed, we will be 100% sure to die. 25%, considering that there are four of us, then in terms of probability and proportion, about one of the four of us will die. "

Xiao Zhen's face suddenly became ugly, Ning Wenrui didn't seem to support him very much.

But Ning Wenrui didn't care about Xiao Zhen's ugly face, and continued: "As the saying goes, walking by the river will never get your shoes wet. If we are obsessed with the benefits brought by summoning and continue to summon, sooner or later One day we will encounter dangers that are too difficult to deal with, and then the group will be wiped out, or one or two people will die.

In this way, it is no wonder that summoner is a dangerous profession. If my guess is correct, Qin Ming's uncle probably died because of this. "

Having said that, Qin Ming's expression also turned ugly, but what Ning Wenrui said was indeed well-founded, and he really couldn't refute it.

Ning Wenrui still said: "Personally, I'm not against taking risks. As long as there are enough benefits, it's okay to go all out. However, if the danger is too high or the probability is too high, or even death is inevitable, then it's not worth it. So my personal suggestion is that we summon, but only four times, one for each person, so that our chance of encountering fatal danger is only 20%, and the chance of death is only 10%. As for someone dying, at the same time, we can also get some benefits from these four summons, so this is not a waste of this opportunity.

It's like a casino, if you win once, you leave, and you never want to fight. If you keep gambling, you may lose everything. "

The three of them listened, but Qin Ming was the first to nod, "This is a good idea. Each of us can gain something, and we don't have to take too many risks." Xiao Zhen thought for a while with a hesitant expression, and suddenly smiled, "I Agree too."

"Then what do you think, Lao Xing?" Ning Wenrui said, and the three of them all looked at him.

Xing Tianyu listened, but also nodded hesitantly. Although he didn't want to engage in this summoning technique, he knew that if he blindly opposed it, Xiao Zhen might end up going it alone. Maybe Ning Wenrui and Qin Ming would join him. In that case, God knows what will happen in the end. On the other hand, if only four summoning rituals are performed, and only those low-risk alien creatures are selected for summoning, the risk is still acceptable.

Thinking of this, Xing Tianyu finally nodded. "Yes, but as agreed, each person will only be summoned once, no matter what the result is, we will never do this thing again from now on, and if we really want to carry out the summoning ceremony, then we must be fully prepared. All right, we must calculate all possible risks and try to avoid them as much as possible.”

"That's natural." Ning Wenrui said.

"Then who will come first?" Xing Tianyu glanced at several people and asked.

Xiao Zhen stepped forward without hesitation, "Since it was my suggestion, of course I came first."

While talking, Xiao Zhen turned the book to the second section of Chapter 4, 【About the Existing Summoning Spells】.

This section has a lot of content, more than a dozen pages, and records many ready-made summoning spells. According to the book, these summoning spells are the most reliable summoning spells obtained by the past summoners after repeated trials. Yes, it also records the alien creatures that these summoning spells can summon, the benefits and risks these alien creatures can provide, and even the pictures of these alien creatures, which can be called detailed.

After turning a few pages, Xiao Zhen suddenly stopped.

"Hey, this one looks pretty good."

Several people looked at the illustration of the book together, but what was painted on the illustration was a skull-like thing with flames in its eyes.

(End of this chapter)