DNF's million counterattack

Chapter 317 Profit Maximization
"90.00% nine!" Xiao Ye reacted immediately and continued, "The chance of winning the first prize we selected was only 98 percent, and the host helped us eliminate 99, which means we have selected [-] gates. In this way if……"

"In this case, we will definitely not continue to choose the previous door, but the one that the host has not opened!" Xiaobai also understood, and continued Xiaoye's words.

"One hundred percent minus the chance of winning the first selection is our final chance of winning. In this way, the situation of the previous three doors is not difficult to understand, right?" Izumo said with a smile.

"Indeed... If the total number of doors is changed to 100 and the host opens 98, then when the host asks us to choose again, we choose the door that the host did not open, and the chance of winning is very high."

"Yes, if the 100 doors are increased again, such as 100, [-], or even [-] million, until there are infinity. Then in the end, it can be said that our chance of winning is equivalent to infinitely close to [-]%." ​​Izumo turned a ring in his right hand. Gel pen, assuming in his mouth.

"Wait, there seems to be a problem here." Xiao Ye suddenly frowned and said.

"What's the problem?" Izumo looked at him and replied.

"When there were three doors, the host helped us open a door without prizes. If the total number of doors is changed to one hundred, if the other condition of Izumo's change has not changed, that is to say, the host still only Help us open a door with no prizes. Then our odds of winning the lottery have barely changed."

"You got to the point. Here, the number '3' is quite special. We don't know whether the host will help me remove n-2 wrong answers or only one wrong answer, so the condition of the revised question is, It is my assumption. And the number '3' satisfies these two conditions at the same time, so the probability result of this question is two-thirds, which is not wrong. But to change to 100 doors, or even more, for us , only excluding one wrong answer does not have much practical significance.” Izumo explained.

Only then did Xiaobai nod his head belatedly, and said, "That's right, that's it."

"This is the way of doing business I want to tell you: when we, as players, choose the 'door', we should be a 'host' at the same time, we must eliminate foreseeable traps at any time, accurately calculate risk."

"Calculate the risk?" Xiao Ye repeated.

"Yes, only by calculating the risks can we maximize the profits of the choices we make."

"What's the matter with profit maximization? I don't read much, so don't bully me..." Xiaobai joked, pretending to be depressed.

Izumo and Xiaoye were amused by him, and then Izumo said: "In business, we can often see a phenomenon. If we have a capital of 100 million, and then engage in investment, there are two projects. The first project, invest in it 100 million can make a steady profit of 50; investing in another project with 100 million can earn 80, but there are certain risks, and then we have evaluated and calculated that the success rate of this project is about 80%. Now, you are investors, you will Which project should I choose?"

In the living room, Xiaoye and Xiaobai fell silent again.

"In my case, I will invest in the first project. I can make a steady profit of 100 if I invest in 50 million, and I will not lose 100%." ​​Xiaoye gave his answer after thinking for a while.

"If it's me, I should choose the second option, because I can earn 30 more than the first option." After Xiao Ye gave his answer, Xiaobai also expressed his opinion.

Izumo sat there and commented: "Here, you can see whether a person has an adventurous spirit."

"When doing business, if you don't have the spirit of adventure and just wait for the 100% profitable 'pie' to fall on your head, you may not be able to wait for a lifetime. Even if you deposit your capital in the bank and earn interest, but when the banknotes depreciate, On the contrary, it may be a loss-making transaction. Therefore, investment is always risky. How to reduce the risk and maximize the profit depends on the individual's ability."

"As for the above two questions, the first question requires investors to be flexible, analyze carefully when making a decision, and make the most favorable choice; Make the choice that is most beneficial to you. These two situations are very close to each other, but we can often meet them in our lives. This is why there are differences between businessmen who are both businessmen."

The two were taken aback by Izumo's explanation.

"Silly bear loves to fight, just like this game, he dared to invest the game currency in a product that has just sprouted, and no one knows the potential of this product. Moreover, he is quite big at playing. All the money is put on this one project. As for his risk assessment of investing in enchanted cards, we don’t know if he has any idea in mind.”

If Tianyu were to discuss with them at this moment, he would definitely tell himself very firmly in his heart: "The risk is zero."

"Erxiu is relatively conservative. Although it is said that business requires an adventurous spirit, the success rate of the topic just now is 80%. If it becomes 100 million and earns 1000 million, but the success rate is only 1%, how many people are willing to choose? "Izumo said here, shook his head, and continued, "If you continue to shrink the principal, expand the profit, and increase the risk, then two industries will be born. The first is the illegal industry that takes risks, and the existing ones here The risk, we speak for ourselves; the other is a legitimate chance - the lottery."

"Lottery tickets..." Xiaobai was speechless.

"It is said that some people in the lottery can find out the rules, but... luck is something that even scientists haven't studied, so how can there be rules to follow? So, really don't expect the sky to fall, after all, it is not human Everyone can catch it, and there are only a very small number of people who win the lottery.”

When it was night, Izumo and Akatsuki left.

"It seems that the price will almost stabilize tomorrow." Tianyu said in his heart seeing that someone had already received 800 million Huo Nv Cards.

Right now, in the backpack of the unlucky bear, there are 3 Fire Girl Cards, 2 City Lord Cards, 1 Roots Power Card, 1 Tree Essence Blood Volume Card, 350 Zijin Guardian Shoulder Pad, [-] million game coins, and no cards. cash.

Next door, in the backpack of Erxiu's character Eel, there are 2 Fire Girl cards, 1 City Lord card, 1 design drawing of the Sage's Ring, hundreds of thousands of game coins... 200 yuan in cash.

"I've tried my best, and now I'm waiting for the card to rise to the final price before I sell it. In terms of time, I should be able to reach the price in my mind tomorrow." Tianyu thought to himself, logged out of the account, and said to Xiaobai, "You register Bar."

"Silly bear, you don't accept it anymore?" Xiao Bai asked in surprise.

"No, I'm almost done, and I'll wait until tomorrow to cash in what I have on my body."

"..." Xiaobai didn't speak any more, and thought, "So sure? But...it doesn't matter who wins or loses, it doesn't matter to me. Adventurous spirit? I never stop taking risks."

The corner of Xiaobai's mouth twitched, he took out his mobile phone and glanced at it.

The second room next door.

"I don't know what's going on with the silly bear. Try to get some more from 5173 tonight. The competition during the day is too fierce, and almost no profitable orders have been found."

　I wish you all a happy Dragon Boat Festival~
　　
　
(End of this chapter)