Rebirth: My 80s

Chapter 314 You know a lot

"Why do you act like you want to die generously?"

In Dormitory 307, Hu Ziqiang looked at Li Jiankun up and down, taking a deep breath and barely leaving a fatal poem.

Li Jiankun glanced at him and ignored him.

No one can understand his current mood. His paper, at Brother Qiang's level, can probably be regarded as a conspiracy theory, but the person who holds it is different. He is a master-level figure.

Limited by the openness of the country, only such a person can truly understand his paper and understand the stakes.

On the other hand, for a young graduate student, he was able to figure out the underlying logic of many obscure things, which was incredible.

Just now, someone sent him a message asking him to report to the office.

He could almost foresee the shock of taking the lead.

The reason why he put this aside for psychological construction was not because he was afraid of losing his life, but because he planned to risk it all.

In the two and a half years of Yanyuan's life, to be fair, he has not really integrated into it, let alone a qualified student. At the end of the day, he should...leave something behind.

The points he mentioned in his paper are all disasters that will actually cause serious harm or losses to the people and the country in the future.

Yes, it's a warning.

The leader is a leading figure in economics at Peking University. He is still standing on the podium at the age of 80 and has great achievements all over the world.At the same time, he should know all the top economists in the country.

As long as he can be alerted, Li Jiankun expects that there will be some changes in the future economic trend.

Not to mention anything else, if it can save people from having to bear mortgage debt for a few years, or get rid of those damn public stalls, it will also be a good thing that benefits all people.

For this, he risked his life.

If anyone really doubts what kind of monster he is, just...go ahead and doubt him.

"Qiangzi, brother is gone."

"Go ahead, I will pay homage to you every year from now on."

Li Jiankun gave Brother Qiang a middle finger, turned around, and strode out of the room.

The wind is rustling and the water is cold. Once the strong man is gone... he will definitely return.

I'll leave if you don't come again.

These days, many things have not been formalized, and the Department of Economics has the final say. Knowing that he has many problems, Li Jiankun is here to answer his questions and convince him. Can he still go through the process?

West Gate of Yanyuan, Administration Building, General Office of the Department of Economics.

The door was not closed tightly, leaving a gap. Li Jiankun raised his hand and knocked.

"Enter."

"Squeak!"

Pushing open the door and entering, Li Jiankun glanced at me and suddenly had the urge to say, "Haha, I knocked on the wrong door," and turn around and leave.

What are you doing?
I saw that there was not just one person in charge, but a group of old men sitting in the office!

Li Jiankun looked at them in astonishment. These faces were not unfamiliar. As an economics student, if he didn't recognize these people, he would be like a kid who didn't recognize the King of Hell.

They are: Sun Zhifang, Xue Muqiao, Yu Guangyuan, Xu Dixing, Ma Hong, Jiang Yiwei and Du Runsheng.

Add another Chen Daisun.

Almost all the leading economists of the older generation were present.

My mamma mia!

Li Jiankun hurriedly bowed to the big bosses as disciples, and then stared at the leader. The subtext was: Don't tell me, these big bosses have all read my thesis!
Chen Daisun's expression was complicated, with a bit of relief and pride, but also a bit of shock and confusion. He smiled and said: "These are all my old friends, not outsiders."

Li Jiankun: "!!!"

This is a big deal.

Can't you tell them later? You can just wait until I leave Yanyuan. Now bring these guys here... Are you afraid of scaring me to death?

That's him.

If it were Brother Qiang who was that good-for-nothing, it would be strange if his calves didn't tremble in the face of this battle.

"Xiao Li, right? Don't be formal, come and sit." Li Jiankun took a few deep breaths, and now he felt a little generous about dying.

He didn't dare to sit with these big guys, so he pulled up a chair by himself and sat down across from them. He looked like a prisoner being interrogated.

Before his ass could get hot, Mr. Sun Zhifang's words almost made him fall to the ground.

"We originally held an economic symposium on housing reform at the Jingxi Hotel. Well, a few paragraphs in your paper were so shocking that we didn't dare to continue, so we had to end it hastily."

Li Jiankun: "..."

"Other content in the paper is also thought-provoking. We will talk about this later. I heard from your tutor that you just went to Hong Kong City not long ago. As the old saying goes, it is better to travel thousands of miles than to read thousands of books. We old guys who work behind closed doors, today I came to ask you for advice."

"Don't dare." Li Jiankun waved his hands repeatedly.

He knew very well that what he knew relatively well was purely due to living an extra life. In terms of true knowledge, he was not worthy of carrying the shoes of these masters.

"The economic model of off-the-plan real estate you gave to Hong Kong City is defined as advance taxation. Can you explain it in detail?"

Li Jiankun nodded and said: "It's easy to put it bluntly. The local government wants to sell land to increase income, and the developer wants to make money from the land. The two parties hit it off. And the land is sold, at least for decades. In other words, the current incumbent Through this sale, the local government takes away the benefits of this land for decades to come.”

Sun Zhifang pondered:
"It sounds a bit sorry for future generations, but thinking about it on the other hand, I personally think it is not a bad idea. The current local government can greatly change people's livelihood in a short period of time and create more infrastructure and Jobs, wouldn’t this region become better and better as it develops in the future?”

"On the surface it seems so."

Li Jiankun said: "There will be a false prosperity, which is called a real estate bubble abroad. We are only talking about local governments now, not developers yet."

Sun Zhifang is the second oldest among these people, and besides Chen Daisun, he is the oldest.As the communication representative, he motioned to Li Jiankun to continue.

"With the model of Hong Kong City, after the developer acquires the land, they will immediately use the land to borrow money from the bank. In this way, they will get back the money they paid for the land. They don't have to spend their own money to build houses. The land is there. First get a design drawing, and then you can sell the off-the-plan property.

"It is equivalent to saying that the developer does not have to pay any funds. At most, it makes an advance payment and starts to generate income. That's why I say that the off-plan model is essentially a wealth-making movement, which enriches the developers but makes the common people suffer.

"Most ordinary people are unable to make a one-time payment and can only take loans, which last for decades. Just now I said that the local government has taken a large amount of money, which can quickly change people's livelihood. How big a change can people's livelihood and well-being be worth? A loan for ten years?”

Li Jiankun paused, shook his head and said:

"It's useless. Even if the local government sells out all the land in exchange for massive funds to maximize people's livelihood and well-being, a large number of real estate speculators continue to drive up housing prices, and developers are adding fuel to the fire, in the end the people's pockets will still be drained.

"As far as I know, in Hong Kong City, usually when a couple gets married and buys an apartment, plus their parents, they need to empty six wallets to afford it."

Hearing these words, the big guys present looked at each other in shock.

Two generations of six people, the elder has been busy all his life, the younger has been busy half his life, just for a house?
What will happen to the young children when they grow up in the future?

Thanks to many people in the mainland, they still envy the lives of people in Hong Kong. Isn't this just superficial and false prosperity?

In such a comparison, they don't know how happy they are. Most of the houses of working-class families are allocated by the state.Even if you rent, the monthly rent per capita is one or two yuan, which is considered low.

The only problem is that there is not enough room to live in, so we need to upgrade the housing.

Mr. Ma Hong questioned, "Is this false statement of prosperity a bit exaggerated? I have been to Hong Kong City, and what you can see there is indeed prosperity. There are many buildings and towering skyscrapers. These are not false."

Li Jiankun said: "Does the old man know how many companies in Hong Kong City are offshore companies?"

Ma Hong: "..."

Li Jiankun asked himself and answered: "Almost all real estate companies are like this. I just mentioned a word called real estate bubble. The model of real estate for housing supply will [-]% encounter bottlenecks when it develops to a certain stage, or the land will be saturated, or The market is saturated, and those countries in the world that have taken the lead in implementing this model are all without exception.

“And then, bam! The housing bubble bursts and the real catastrophe comes.

"House prices have plummeted, developers have shut down, and people who bought off-the-plan properties cannot get the property and have to repay bank loans on time. As for the bosses behind real estate companies, they have already transferred large amounts of funds out through the convenience of offshore companies.

"The company is still a limited liability company. At worst, it will file for bankruptcy. In the end, it will be nothing more than the government and the people footing the bill, and they will continue to live happily."

Li Jiankun looked across.

"After such a review, all you old men should understand that this model of housing supply and real estate will only make it cheaper in the end. And how great the harm will be. Our size is far beyond that of Hong Kong City. In the future, it will really When one day the real estate bubble bursts and the huge amount of money earned by the people is sucked away, the consequences will be unimaginable."

Everyone present frowned.

It was indeed a catastrophe.

From this point of view, the real estate model for housing supply in Hong Kong City is really undesirable.

Mr. Xue Muqiao, who had been silent for the whole time, stared at Li Jiankun with burning eyes, "Classmate Xiao Li, how do you know so much?"

This is not just a matter of visiting Hong Kong City a few times. It makes sense. It feels like I have been in Hong Kong City for decades.

(End of this chapter)