I'm really not King Jing of Zhongshan

Chapter 394 Strategic Decision
Knowing that the enemy will come, you also know where and when it will come.

This is a very interesting precondition.

According to Zhou Yafu's opinion, the Huns will definitely knock down after this autumn, and the first battle will most likely break out on the Mayi-Wuzhou line in Daibei Yanmen County, and the time must be after the autumn harvest and before winter.

From this point of view alone, it seems that the Han Dynasty can start dispatching troops from now on, and station heavy troops on the Mayi-Wuzhou line to prepare for the Huns who are "certainly knocking at the edge".

But Zhou Yafu also did not forget to mention: the Huns are also very clear about their intentions, and they will basically not deviate from the speculation of the Han Dynasty.

Then, here comes the interesting point.

——I know you're coming, you know I know you're coming, so are you still coming?
Even think a little deeper: I know you're coming, you know I know you're coming, I know you know I know you're coming...

"Sigh~"

"Don't Marquis Tiao think that the Huns will be surprised?"

"——Since Tiaohou believes that the Huns will definitely attack Wuzhou, why don't the Huns do the opposite, first exclude the Mayi-Wuzhou line, and instead attack places that are not very suitable for attacking ?”

After thinking for a while, Liu Sheng forced himself to free himself from the logical thinking of layer cakes, and directly raised his doubts.

The reason is simple: this kind of lasagna-like spiral logical thinking cannot draw a definite conclusion at all.

This is like rock-paper-scissors. Before starting, the opponent said 'I will play rock'.

This means that if the opponent wants to play stones, we should play cloth;
But this is very likely to be a trap by the opponent. The opponent will most likely trick us into producing cloth, and then produce scissors by himself.

If the opponent plays scissors, then we should play a rock;

But if this is also a trap for the opponent...

Just keep thinking, keep thinking, this will be an infinite loop of dead ends, pure thinking, it is impossible to judge whether the other party is on the third, fifth, seventh floor, or directly in the atmosphere.

So Liu Sheng quickly gave up thinking and directly initiated a professional consultation with Zhou Yafu.

Because Liu Sheng is very sure: these factors that he can think of, it is even more impossible for Zhou Yafu to ignore them.

Liu Sheng was very curious about how Zhou Yafu still came to the conclusion that "the Huns will definitely attack Wuzhou Fortress" under the precondition of "knowing the enemy will come" and in the logic of thinking like a thousand-layer cake.

In the face of Liu Sheng's question, Zhou Yafu also showed his peak "professional attainments" at a glance...

"Your Majesty may think that the Huns will play tricks on the real and the real, and follow their usual habits, choosing the direction that is most unexpected to my Han family to launch their attacks."

"However, the direction from which to launch an attack is often not a free choice for the Huns and the Huns Shan Yuting."

"—Maybe there will be several alternative directions for Shan Yuting to choose one of, or choose one of them as the main attack direction, while the other directions will be feint attacks."

"But there are only a few choices, not from Longyou to Youbeiping, the thousands of miles of Han-Hungarian side wall, can be chosen by the Huns..."

When he said something with a faint smile, Zhou Yafu lowered his head a little, and said something with a smile.

After organizing his words, he finally turned his face slightly, raised his head, and looked at the huge Kanyu in front of him again.

"At the beginning of spring, the Huns marched into the border with great momentum. The vanguard even appeared in Ganquan Mountain, which is only a few hundred miles away from Chang'an, and burned the Ganquan Palace to the ground."

"But it doesn't mean that from Beidi and Longyou, Bingfeng only refers to Xiaoguan. It is the Xiongnu Shanyuting's decision based entirely on his preferences."

···
"There is actually a reason why the Xiongnu Shan Yuting knocked down from the north and attacked Xiaoguan to shake the center of the pass."

"——Firstly, Your Majesty's new king is coming soon. According to the past practice, the Huns will definitely attack some more important and strategic places at such a time to deter our Han monarchs and ministers."

"Especially intimidating the new king who has not been enthroned for a long time and has not yet established his grace."

"So at the beginning of spring, the direction that the Huns can attack has actually ruled out the Yanbei line, which is located in a remote area and cannot pose any threat to Guanzhong."

"And among the remaining Beidi, Longyou, Yanmen and other counties, Beidi County is located between the side wall and Xiaoguan, and if it is broken, it can go directly to Xiaoguan;"

"The guard Chao Cuo is an 'unknown soldier' ​​who has never been famous in the battle. Obviously, he is easier to attack than Yanmen County where Zhidu is stationed."

"The most important thing is: Chao Cuo is not famous all over the world because of his talent in the army, but at the same time he has a big enough reputation—therefore, Doctor Yushi."

"This makes it so that once the Huns attack the Northland, or even capture Chao Cuo alive, the loss in this battle will be unacceptably great for our Han family."

···
"Second: In addition to deterring the new emperor of our Han family, the Xiongnu's choice to kowtow at the beginning of spring is also influenced by practical factors."

"—In the winter before the beginning of spring, there was a white disaster on the grassland, and the Huns urgently needed to plunder the side walls of my Han family to fill the shortage of supplies of the various tribes."

"Since it is looting, it is natural to choose directions that are relatively rich in supplies and relatively weak in defense."

"Similarly: Beidi, where Chao Cuo is stationed, is the most suitable target among counties such as Longyou, Beidi, and Yanmen."

"Especially when attacking the Northland, the Huns may have the opportunity to cross the Xiao Pass and plunder the Pass, which made the Xiongnu Shan Yuting make up his mind to use the Northland as the main direction of attack."

···
"Thirdly, based on the consideration of the military formation, attacking the Northland is also the best choice."

"—Because when the Huns knocked on the side, my Han family would always make a big mobilization, and then send a large army northward."

"But after the Huns attacked Beidi and broke the Xiao Pass, my Han family couldn't do this at all."

"Because the breach of the Xiaoguan Pass means that Jingzhao is in a hurry, our Han family needs to ensure the stability of Chang'an first, and we don't even care about transferring troops to the north;"

"In addition to the breaking of Xiaoguan, it means that Xiaoguan has temporarily fallen under the control of the Huns. Even if our Han family wants to send a large army northward, they will not be able to pass through Xiaoguan in a short time."

"If you can't go north to Xiaoguan, you can only go east to Hangu."

"In this way, when the army goes out of Hangu to the east, and then turns north, the Huns have already fled back to the grassland with a lot of looted things..."

Hearing Zhou Yafu's description, Liu Sheng first raised his head, looked left and right at the Kanyu in front of him, then lowered his head to think for a moment, and finally nodded slowly with approval.

Zhou Yafu was right.

For the Huns, attacking the Han side was theoretically a matter of "thousands of miles of border, just choose one of them at will", but if considering factors such as strategic purpose, marching route, and battlefield size, it was actually a matter of fact. Not many options left.

Just as Zhou Yafu said: The Huns attacked the Han Dynasty with a purpose, not just playing around with nothing to do.

It may be to rob materials, plunder the population, or it may be a strategic strike or deterrence;
In most cases, there are all of the above, but the main focus is on strategic strikes, deterrence, and diplomatic blackmail, and the plunder of materials and people is incidental.

This makes the attack direction chosen by the Huns must meet the following conditions.

——First, it is important enough to the Han Dynasty to cause a major blow to the Han Dynasty in different aspects including but not limited to practical significance, political significance, and strategic significance;
——Secondly, the defensive force should not be too strong, so as not to cause excessive casualties to the Xiongnu army during the attack;
——Third, the supplies and population should not be too poor, lest the Huns be busy for a long time and end up unable to take their farts away.

Among these three conditions, the first two are obviously somewhat contradictory - that is, it is important enough, but there is no strong defense force, such a weird situation itself is not common;

And the third requirement, that is, the population should not be too barren and poor, and the generation of the border wall, which has been fighting for years, is also quite a luxury requirement.

Combining all of these, it is no exaggeration to say that on the Han-Hungarian border that is thousands of miles long from east to west, there are absolutely no more than five targets that can meet the requirements of the Huns.

In this way, the situation is really as Zhou Yafu said: Even though the Han-Hungarian border stretches from Longyou in the west to Youbeiping County in the east, which is close to the Korean Peninsula, and spans thousands of miles, the attack points that the Huns can choose, But there are only a few places...
"I, I understand what Tiaohou means."

"——The Huns attacked Hanbian, just like businessmen traveling abroad: they need to consider whether the transportation is convenient, whether the market is lively, whether the local people have money, whether they have acquaintances in the local area, and other factors."

"Considering these, Yanbei, which occupies nearly half of the border, is actually not likely to be noticed by the Huns."

Seeing that Liu Sheng easily understood what he wanted to express, Zhou Yafu just nodded slightly to express his approval for Liu Sheng.

Then, he looked up at the Kanyu in front of him, and then shook his head to himself.

"Not only that."

"——In addition to attacking this place, whether it can cause enough damage to our Han family, whether it can win more bargaining chips for itself, whether it can get enough things back, and whether it can avoid casualties as much as possible, there is another question , is what the Huns have to consider.”

"battlefield."

"The Huns need to choose a battlefield that suits them after serious consideration."

···
"Even if His Majesty has never been there, he should know about the cavalry's combat methods."

"Different from the Warring States period, when the nations fought frontally against each other step by step, and vehicles against vehicles, the cavalry's combat methods had one of the biggest differences, and that was chasing."

"—Infantry fighting with infantry, most of them lined up facing each other, advancing slowly, and finally stabbing with spears and spears in the front;"

"Even if there are chariots joining, it is only to disrupt the enemy's infantry. The ones who are really responsible for defeating the opponent in the front are still the infantry with spears and halberds."

"But the cavalry, especially the cavalry of the Huns, would not fight the enemy at all unless it was necessary."

"Especially when facing the infantry array of my Han family, the way the Huns fight will become very annoying, but there is nothing they can do..."

Saying this, Zhou Yafu seemed to be on the battlefield, commanding the cumbersome heavy infantry phalanx, facing the nimble Huns cavalry, showing a distorted face with chest tightness and shortness of breath.

After a while, Zhou Yafu, who took deep breaths repeatedly to adjust his mood, brought his attention back to Kanyu in front of him again.

"Your Majesty, have you ever seen a pack of wolves hunt?"

"——Most people in the world think that wolves, tigers and leopards are all murderers, and hunters will come rushing towards them, and they will never retreat."

"But the hunting methods of the wolves, even a person like Chen who has been familiar with military affairs since childhood, can't help but be amazed."

"Just like the coach who issues orders, the wolf king of the wolf pack will give instructions to every wolf in the wolf pack, and the wolf pack will follow the orders of the wolf king to stop them, like an arm command."

"And when hunting, no matter whether it is a powerful pig or elephant, or a weak deer or cattle, the wolves will never rush forward and bite easily."

···
"At the very beginning, wolves would follow their prey step by step, observe the state of the prey from a distance, and check whether the prey has other companions nearby."

"It is determined that the prey is alone, and the wolves will not relax their vigilance. Instead, they will arrange some 'troops' to guard the periphery, and most of the 'troops' will continue to follow the prey."

"When the prey moves, the wolves follow; when the prey stops, the wolves howl and threaten, forcing the prey to move on."

"If conditions permit, push the prey as far as possible; if not, force the prey to go straight ahead."

"During this period, the prey will always be terrified, unable to sleep or eat, and cannot rest for several days in a row."

"Where wolves press at every step, harassing the prey when it wants to rest, intimidating when the prey is eating, and urging the prey when it stops."

"Just like this until the prey is exhausted and mentally exhausted, the wolves will still step forward cautiously, grabbing and biting the prey in the safest possible way, causing the prey to be injured."

"Until the prey can no longer support the body and collapses from exhaustion, the wolves will swarm up and end the prey's pain."

Listening to Zhou Yafu's description of such a picture, even if he was classified as the Son of Heaven, Liu Sheng could not help but frowned in empathy.

But when Liu Sheng came back to his senses and looked up to his side again, he found that Zhou Yafu was looking at him with unprecedented severity.

"The Huns are wolves."

"When fighting against our Han army, the Huns are like wolves on the hunt."

"——They will not ride horses to charge, let alone approach my Han army formation easily, but will patiently consume the minds and strength of our Han army officers and soldiers like a pack of wolves."

"Stalking and harassing like tarsal maggots, until the morale of the army is slackened and the confidence of the soldiers collapses, they will swarm up and bite the soldiers of our Han family..."

···
"And this is why I said that the Huns would 'choose the battlefield'."

"—Because of the combat method of the Huns cavalry, the battlefield must be wide enough."

"At least wide enough to drive the enemy, till exhaustion;"

"At the same time, it must be flat enough to hide the enemy's ambush, and allow the Huns cavalry to move freely, and in the final charge, gallop their horses without any scruples..."

(End of this chapter)