Chapter 6 Analysis
On the first day of April, before the beginning of summer, Tao Qian was recuperating in the backyard of the Mufu Mansion of Yancheng, Donghai State, Xuzhou. He has not been in good health recently, and has never left home. However, he sent scouts widely to know Cao Cao's movements. .

As a result, two days ago, when he learned that Cao Jun massacred Qulu and tens of thousands of people died, Tao Qian vomited blood and passed out.

"You mean that an eight-year-old boy warned the villagers that this escape was triggered?"

Tao Qian was very surprised.

Cao Hong replied: "Exactly. I have sent someone to call the young boy, so that Duke Ming can ask him."

"Call him over."

Tao Qian summoned Shen Chen in the middle hall.

Shen Chen has been in charge of the affairs of the clan with the clan elders for the past few days.

Escaping is not simply a matter of packing up the clothes and fleeing aimlessly, but with planning and direction.

There is no matter how big or small, what you need to bring and what you don't need to bring are clearly listed, making it easy to choose.

We also have to go to Niqiu Mountain to find out the situation and find a suitable temporary residence.

After all, thousands of people fled, and the common people were not as commanded as the army. The military discipline was strict, and every household had its own problems.

Therefore, it was delayed for several days before the first migration team organized by Deng Hong officially set off to go north.

Shen Chen was originally in the second batch of teams, but Tao Qian suddenly sent someone to investigate the situation. Cao Hong ordered him to go to Yancheng to explain to Tao Qian, so he had to come here.

Entering the middle hall, Shen Chen saw the gray-haired Tao Qian who was sitting on the main seat, and he was well-groomed, and entered the door generously, bowed his hands and bowed to salute: "I will pay my respects to Mr. Tao in the morning."

"You are Shen Chen?"

Tao Qian stared at Shen Chen and looked him up. He was an eight-year-old boy, only half the height of a human being, with an immature face, but his eyes were extremely energetic and aura.

Shen Chen said neither humble nor overbearing: "Reporting to Mr. Tao, the boy is Shen Chen."

"sit."

"Thank you Tao Gong."

"I heard that you bewitched the villagers to leave the country? Is there such a thing?"

When Shen Chen sat down, Tao Qian suddenly asked a question.

Shen Chen sternly said: "Cao bandits are tyrannical, in order to plot Xuzhou, Xuzhou must be slaughtered first, for the sake of the neighbors and the people, I have to persuade the tribe to flee to other places."

Tao Qian asked in surprise, "How did you know that Cao Cao would definitely slaughter Xuzhou?"

Shen Chen said: "Xuzhou is rich and rich, and Yuan Shu must covet it. Cao Cao is not strong now and cannot directly compete with Yuan Shu. Therefore, in order to prevent Yuan Shu from winning Xuzhou, Xuzhou must be destroyed."

This idea is novel and unexpected.

Tao Qian was very surprised.

Because Cao Cao's name has always been to avenge his father, Tao Qian felt very tormented when he learned that the people of Xuzhou were slaughtered these days, thinking that it was his fault that caused Xuzhou to suffer.

In the end, Shen Chen told him that the real reason why Cao Cao massacred Xuzhou was to prevent Xuzhou from being acquired by Yuan Shu, which he did not expect.

After thinking for a moment, Tao Qian tentatively asked, "Is there a solution for the child to relieve Xuzhou's crisis?"

Shen Chen shook his head and said: "If there was a way two months ago, but now I can only stand alone and wait for the opportunity."

"Why is there a solution in two months?"

Tao Qian was puzzled.

Shen Chen said: "Before Yuan Shu was eyeing Xuzhou. When Cao Cao attacked, Duke Tao could send Yuan Shu. He would like to cede the lands of Xiapi, Pengcheng, and Guangling to attract Cao and Yuan to fight. This is called driving away wolves! But now Xuzhou is in ruins, and Yuan Shu may not make any more efforts to occupy Xuzhou, so I said that it was okay two months ago, but now I can only stick to it."

"Yellow mouth kid, you're talking nonsense."

Cao Hong on the side couldn't listen anymore, and retorted: "Then Yuan Shu is also a jackal, and he often wants to go north to harass Xuzhou, and luring him to come is no less than luring a wolf into a house! Minggong, I think this kid is just a show, and an arrogant person is also a fool." .”

"Childish words are indeed too naive."

Tao Qian also said with some disappointment: "Although Yuan Shu was defeated by Cao Cao in the past, it was because of his hard work and lack of food and grass. Now he is recruiting troops in Huainan, with more than [-] soldiers and horses. The food and grass are abundant. If he comes to Xuzhou, how can Cao Cao compete with him? Then Xuzhou will fall into Yuan Shu's hands."

"The ancient Xiang Lu was Confucius' teacher at the age of seven, and Gan Luo was the Prime Minister of Qin at the age of 12. Those who are ambitious do not depend on their age, but on their knowledge."

Shen Chen said in a deep voice: "Mr. Tao only saw the strength of Yuan Shu, but he couldn't see the plight Cao Cao was facing. Runan, Chen Guo, Pei Guo and other places were all occupied by Yuan Shu. Cao Cao was surrounded by enemies. If Xuzhou was also captured by Yuan Shu If you go, you will be besieged, so there is no way for him to hand over Xuzhou!"

Although Yuan Shu was called the dead bone in the tomb by later generations, and thought that his strength was weak, in fact he was very strong.

Not only Yuan Shu, Tao Qian was also very strong before.

Cao Cao was able to seize the land of Henan in the chaos of the Central Plains, not because the king slapped the bronze, but because the gods fought and killed blood among a group of kings.

At its peak, Yuan Shu occupied the entire Yuzhou, Henan, and the most fertile land in the Huainan area of ​​Yangzhou, with as many as 17 soldiers, almost the strongest overlord in the south.

It's just that his strategic intentions are too bad, there is almost no strategic policy at all, he can hit whoever he wants, like a headless chicken.

I once attacked Liu Biao and was defeated, and Cao Cao was defeated. Later, I fought with Liu Bei and Lu Bu in Xuzhou. Then I became emperor and lost my reputation. Finally, I died in a severe drought and famine. lived a ridiculous life.

But that was all a few years later, at least the current Yuan Shu was only defeated when he took the initiative to attack Jingzhou and Yanzhou, and the main forces and troops still existed.

Even his sphere of influence includes part of the land of Chenliu County in Yanzhou, which is very close to Cao Cao's territory.

Of course, because Yuzhou is very poor now, Yuan Shu only sent people to take over these places, without too many troops stationed there.

For example, Chen Guoxiang Yuan Si, Pei Xiang Shu Shao, etc. were all appointed by him. As for governing the local area and sending troops to guard, there were almost none.

So two years later, Cao Cao's power grew, and he quickly drove away Yuan Shu's forces in Chenliu, Chen Guo, Runan and other places, and occupied these places by himself, making preparations for coercing the emperor and ordering the princes.

At present, Yuan Shu's main force is still in the Huainan area.

And the reason why he is not entrenched in Henan but in Huainan is for two reasons.

One is that Henan, like Xuzhou, has flat terrain and is located in the place of the Fourth World War, with almost no danger to defend.

The second is that Henan was destroyed during the Yellow Turban Rebellion, with a depleted population and barren land. It is not as rich as Huainan, and it can support his army.

Therefore, although Yuan Shu's sphere of influence is large, in fact, the radiating range is basically only Jiangdong and Xuzhou.

Jiangdong was not developed in the Han Dynasty, and the Jiangdong area gradually developed after Wu Huluanhua went south, so Yuan Shu was not interested in Jiangdong.

Then the only point he can attack is naturally only Xuzhou.

From the perspective of Cao Cao, you will find that Huainan occupied by Yuan Shu is now very prosperous, and Xuzhou is Huaibei, which is connected to Huainan, separated by a strip of water.

If Huaibei and Huainan are occupied by Yuan Shu at the same time, the two rich places allow him to develop, and the situation will be very difficult for Cao Cao.

Because at that time, Cao Cao's territory was in Dongjun, Jiyin, Shanyang, Jibei, Rencheng, and Dongping in Yanzhou, that is, the area from Jining to Heze in Shandong Province.

Runan was ruined, and Yuan Shu only controlled it but did not manage it, so he could not threaten Cao Cao's rear.

Xuzhou Yinfu, Yuan Shu will be like a tiger with wings added if he gets it, not to mention his strength will be improved to a higher level, and he is also close to Cao Cao's base camp, ready to attack at any time.

Therefore, considering the issue from Tao Qian's standpoint, he felt that letting Yuan Shu in was tantamount to leading a wolf into the house.

But if you think about it from the standpoint of Cao Cao, it is also a way to lure wolves into the house, and it is absolutely impossible for Yuan Shu to win Xuzhou.

(End of this chapter)

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