I'm not really a god of rebirth

In the previous life, crude oil rose to [-].

In this life, as far as the current trend is concerned, whether there is a deviation from the previous life, Li Dong is not sure.

But the point of eighty, besides being the high point of the previous life, has another meaning.

That is the cost price of Murray shale oil extraction.

It was also the sideways price range before the previous sharp drop in crude oil.

Technically speaking, the [-] point must have strong resistance, and it is not so easy to break through.

From a fundamental point of view, since the [-] point is the extraction cost price of Murray shale oil, it must be a key point in the fierce competition among the major forces.

In fact, Li Dong now feels more and more strongly that the trend of crude oil is really not easy to change.

Every rise or fall of crude oil, every point, is the result of the game between big countries.

The outcome of the game between major powers cannot be easily changed.

It was such a result in the previous life, but in this life, Li Dong, a butterfly, is flapping his wings desperately, and it may be difficult to affect the result of the great power game.

After all, this is not a big country, but dozens of big countries around the world are playing games.

Even if Li Dong is powerful, how can he influence the decisions of several big countries?

And as long as the outcome of the big power game does not change much, the trend of crude oil will not change much.

Of course, some small offsets in the middle are inevitable.

Hearing Li Dong say [-], Kabir nodded in agreement and said, "Well, I also think that the price of [-] is very suitable. It can not only relieve us, but also continue to suppress Meili's page. Rock oil extraction. However, I am afraid that many people will not be satisfied with this price. You also know that in the past two years, the Meili crude oil giant headed by Luo Fei has signed many agreements with us under pressure. These agreements have benefited us so much that many people within us feel that we have won the final victory and will no longer have to worry about Murray's shale oil. Under this psychological influence, they are definitely not satisfied At the point of [-], I wish crude oil could rise to [-]."

Li Dong said: "From your point of view, of course you want crude oil to continue to rise, but you also have to consider the situation at Murray."

Kabir was a little puzzled: "Murray? Surely they want crude oil to go up?"

Li Dong smiled and said, "Not necessarily? If crude oil really rises too high, I'm afraid they won't be able to bear the inflation alone. I guess, when the time comes, it might be Murray's side. You put pressure on me to lower the price."

In the previous life, the sharp drop in [-] was due to the high inflation in Murray. In order to curb inflation, the best way is naturally to lower the price of oil.

Therefore, in the previous life, Meili put pressure on SARS to lower the price.

That ultimately led to that crash.

Kabir froze for a moment: "Inflation? You mean, the continued rise in crude oil will trigger inflation in Murray?"

Li Dong said: "Inflation is not caused by rising crude oil, but by other factors, such as intensified international competition, geopolitical tensions, etc. In order to curb inflation, lowering oil prices is naturally the best choice. However, This choice will damage some of your interests."

Kabir was lost in thought.

After a long time, he said: "You can't see what you said for the time being? The global economic situation is obviously showing a trend of improvement now. It can't be done. It's just getting better, so inflation will happen immediately?"

Li Dong said: "Yes, inflation will definitely not happen immediately, but what about two years later?"

Kabir wondered: "Two years later? You mean, after two years, it will fall into inflation? Why?"

Li Dong said: "I'm just guessing wildly, and I may be wrong. However, in terms of the trend of crude oil, I still think that the [-] point is almost the high point."

Kabir said, "Two years, eighty, is that what you think?"

Li Dong said: "Yes, this is my opinion."

Kabir said: "Okay, I see, I will study and analyze it carefully. By the way, Odin, have you talked to him about this?"

Li Dong replied: "No."

Kabir said: "That's good, let's not tell him. That guy is probably our biggest opponent. We can't let him know what we think."

Li Dong was silent for a while, and said, "Okay."

…………

Li Dong suddenly realized that if he shorted crude oil in [-], he might have disagreements with Kabir and Odin.

There is no doubt on his side, and he will definitely short crude oil by then.

Because whether it is for him or for the country, whether crude oil rises or falls, the impact is not too great.

At least not directly.

Unlike Murray, North Bear, SARS, etc., the rise and fall of crude oil will have a direct impact on them.

Because they are all oil-producing countries.

Domestically, the situation is special, and it is less affected by the impact of international oil prices.

Therefore, whether Li Dong is going long or short, there is no need to consider the interests of the domestic side.

Anyway, go long when it rises, and short when it falls.

There is only one purpose in everything, to make money.

But Kabir and Odin, the two of them are not just thinking about making money.

They will first consider the interests of the consortium behind them.

From the perspective of the interests of the consortium, decide whether to go long or short.

Kabir also said just now that many people in Saudi Arabia hope that crude oil will continue to rise, and the higher the rise, the better.

At that time, if Li Dong shorted crude oil, wouldn't he be an enemy of Shamei?
How would Kabir choose?

Although Kabir also said it, he also felt that the point of [-] was just right.

However, when the time comes, can he really withstand the internal pressure of Saudi Arabia, instead of pushing up crude oil, he will go short instead?
Let's talk about Odin.

From Murray's point of view, they are naturally going to short crude oil.

However, from Luo Fei's point of view, they want to be long crude oil.

So will Odin stand on the side of Murray, or on Luo Fei's side?
This is hard to say.

Li Dong just estimated that Odin should stand in Luo Fei's position.

After all, no matter what he said, he was talking about the grandson-in-law of the head of Luo Fei.

You can't really kill relatives righteously, can you?

In this way, both Odin and Kabir are likely to push up crude oil.

Then, Li Dong shorted crude oil.

This is where a weird scene ensues.

Li Dong, who obviously does not stand with Murray, is standing with Murray when it comes to shorting crude oil.

Odin, who was obviously supposed to stand with Murray, didn't.

As for Kabir, he stood on the opposite side of Murray as always.

Originally, Li Dong was an ally with Kabir, and an opponent with Odin.

As a result, Odin and Kabir stood together and became rivals with Li Dong.

You said it was a mess.

But this matter is just Li Dong's guess.

At that time, it is still uncertain what Kabir and Odin's position is, whether they are long or short.

But at least, Li Dong is more careful now.

Go long in an open and honest manner now, and when the time comes, if you really want to go short, you will be sneaky.

Can you not turn against Kabir or not turn against Kabir.

Thinking about it this way, Li Dong suddenly felt that he was so insidious.

It turns out that he is also a double-faced person.

I feel a little sorry for Kabir.

Forget it, leave it alone.

Making money is important.

In the capital market, there are no permanent enemies or permanent friends.

Only benefits are eternal.

Li Dong suddenly felt that he was becoming more and more like an evil capitalist.

…………

After talking on the phone with Li Dong, Kabir went to Katerina again.

He rented a manor house next door to Katerina's residence.

If you have nothing to do, go to Katerina, and from time to time, you will invite some local wealthy businessmen and important officials to come to him for a party.

His relationship with Katerina spread quickly.

Some people are happy to see its success, and of course some are dissatisfied.

However, the relationship between the two has been affirmed by the big leader of the North Bear, so no one who is not good-looking dares to jump out to object.

When he came to Katerina's residence, Kabir treated himself as his own home, poured himself a cup of coffee, and said to Katerina who was cooking: "I just called Li Dong and chatted with him. Crude oil."

Katerina, who was busy making dinner in the kitchen, let out an oh.

Kabir waited for a long time, but did not wait for Katerina's next words, so he couldn't help asking: "Aren't you curious about Li Dong's views on crude oil?"

"What does he think?"

Katerina's attention seemed to be still on her fried fish steak, and she asked a perfunctory question.

In other words, Katerina's cooking skills are really good, and Kabir has become obsessed with it, and now he comes to eat Katerina's meals three times a day.

And Katerina doesn't seem to object to having dinner with him.

"He said that crude oil will rise, and this wave will probably rise to [-], and, with a high probability, it will reach its peak and pull back in two years." Kabir said.

Subconsciously swallowed a mouthful of saliva.

The aroma of fried fish steaks has come out, very tempting.

Katerina, who was busy frying fish steaks, stopped her operation when she heard this, and turned to look at Kabir.

He didn't speak, just stared blankly, seemingly thinking about something.

After a long while, he said, "Did he really mean two years later?"

Kabir nodded: "Yes, in a very positive tone."

"Two years? Eighty?" Katerina murmured.

I fell into deep thought again.

After a while, he asked, "Did he say why he saw it that way?"

Kabir said: "The point of [-] is the cost price of Murray shale oil, and it is also a key point in the previous long-short competition. He can see [-], which I think is quite normal. As for two years, he said that after two years, Murray may encounter serious inflation, and once inflation occurs, lowering oil prices will be the best choice."

Katerina asked again: "How did he judge that there will be serious inflation in two years' time?"

Kabir shook his head: "I didn't say it, I just said it was a guess."

"Guess?" Katerina shook her head: "How could it be a guess? He must have his basis."

Kabir said: "That's for sure, but if he doesn't say it, I can't help it."

Katerina pondered for a while, then asked Kabir: "What do you think?"

Kabir said: "Me? My opinion is similar to his. I also think that eighty should be the high point of the stage."

"I mean inflation two years from now," Katerina said.

Kabir wondered: "Inflation? This... Anyway, I didn't see any signs of inflation. I don't know how he saw it."

Katerina sighed secretly, and said: "How did he see it? It's not important. Let's assume that inflation will really appear in two years. Then, what will you do? What will he do? Li, what will you do? Have you considered this?"

Kabir was stunned, and asked, "I... I really didn't think about it that much."

Katerina sighed and said, "Oh, it seems that the gap between you and him is quite big."

Kabir was a little dissatisfied: "How can you see the gap between me and him?"

Katerina said: "Can't you see it? He can see the inflation two years later, and he has even prepared a response plan, but you are not prepared at all."

Kabir subconsciously asked, "What do I need to prepare?"

Katerina asked: "Let me ask you, if crude oil really reaches [-], what will you do? Continue to push higher? Or backhand short?"

After hearing this, the fog in Kabir's mind finally revealed a little light.

Can't help thinking.

Then he said: "I discussed this point with Li Dong just now. Some people within us are definitely not satisfied with the [-] point, and will try to continue to push it higher."

"What about you? Will you cooperate with those people and continue to push higher? Or wait and see? Or...backhand short?" Katerina asked.

Kabir pondered again, and said for a long time: "First of all, I will not push up. Continue to push up, although it is beneficial to us on the surface, but at the same time, it will also let Murray's shale oil breathe. In the long run Look, it’s not good for us. However, it’s not convenient for me to be short, so I probably can only wait and see what happens.”

Katerina said, "Then what do you think Li Dong will do?"

Kabir said: "Him? He must be short. What doubts there are?"

Katerina shook her head: "Did you forget what he said about inflation? If inflation really occurs then, who will suffer the most if he pushes up crude oil?"

Kabir said without thinking, "Murly!"

Katerina said: "That's right, there is inflation in Murray. They must be thinking of lowering crude oil to relieve inflation. How can Li Dong and Huaguo do what they want? So when the time comes, Li Dong is likely to It will continue to push higher.”

Kabir showed a suddenly enlightened expression, but soon showed doubts: "If Li Dong pushes up, what about Odin?"