Great Power Technology

Chapter 90 The Planner's First Practice

Ye Zhou fell asleep from the afternoon until past two o'clock in the middle of the night. When he woke up, it was already dark outside.

He rubbed his head and got up, first went out to take a look, and found that Ye Lan was still awake, squatting in front of the screen in the lobby to toss her financial model.

"Why don't you go to bed so late? Can't you do it tomorrow?"

Ye Lan looked back at him, and replied indifferently:
"Ham, I'm not sleepy. I don't have class during this time, so I'll be fine if I go to bed late. Brother, look, this is the data I imported from the financial game surrounding chip stocks some time ago. There is a conclusion, do you know what it is? "

"What is it?"

Ye Zhou poured himself a glass of water and sat on the sofa beside Ye Lan.

"The conclusion is that we were able to win this time. It was actually very lucky. We invested a total of nearly 280 billion soft sister coins, but the opponent's chips for smashing the game in the final stage were only more than [-] billion."

"However, under such a comparison of funds, many stocks that were originally extremely strong have shown signs of being smashed, which shows that there is still a big gap between us and the other party in terms of operations."

Ye Zhou nodded, then shook his head again.

"There must be a gap in technology, but it is not accurate to say that we won by fluke, because the 1000 billion capital investment you see is not because we only have 1000 billion, but because 1000 billion is enough. .”

"I believe that if the other party continues to resist, it is not surprising that the government will continue to invest another 1000 billion in it."

After listening to Ye Zhou's words, Ye Lan sighed and replied:

"It's not unreasonable for you to say that, but in my opinion, this is actually not a good thing."

"Look, let me give you an example. The money on the financial battlefield is equivalent to the soldiers on the battlefield. We have invested a thousand soldiers, but we have almost never beaten the opponent's 300 soldiers. Do you think this will be a good thing? ?"

"And more importantly, there is no difference in funds such as equipment and physical strength. The only reason for such a result is that there is a problem with our only strategy."

"We failed to make good use of these thousand soldiers, resulting in a large number of soldiers' lives being wasted in vain."

Ye Zhou frowned, he knew what Ye Lan said was right.

On any battlefield, strategy and tactics are factors that can greatly affect the outcome. Taking the war at the beginning of the founding of the country as an example, the reason why we were able to withstand the advantage of the opponent's equipment crushing was completely lost. After gaining air and sea control, there is another most important reason for being able to drive the opponent back to his hometown, apart from the unrepentant sacrifice of the soldiers.

That is our top light infantry tactics in the world.

Or to put it more specifically, it is the three-three system in frontal conflicts, rapid maneuvering when the battlefield shifts, and night combat capabilities that do not rely on night vision equipment.

This ultra-advanced tactic, which is almost equivalent to a dimensionality reduction strike, directly bridged the gap in equipment and logistics, and made our side famous in the first battle, standing on the pinnacle of the world's light infantry system.

In fact, the so-called special forces such as SEALs, SAS, and Delta in later generations still have a big gap with the army of that year in terms of light infantry tactics.

After thinking for a moment, he asked:
"You're right. So you want to analyze their strategy, and then turn it back for us?"

Ye Lan shook her head and replied:
"No, it's unrealistic and impractical to take it directly. What I want is to find the key elements of their strategy, such as what they do when a certain indicator reaches a certain range."

"There are many indicators in financial transactions, and each indicator is an indirect response to market sentiment and the capital operation behind it. If we can analyze the relationship between indicators and operations, and then solidify it, then we can predict the other party. operations, and prepare in advance.”

"Even further, we can artificially create a certain indicator, and then let them think that the conditions are ripe and step into our trap."

Ye Zhou didn't study economics systematically, so he was at a loss for these concepts proposed by Ye Lan, so he could only ask:

"Why don't you give me a specific example? So I don't really understand."

Ye Lan pulled a piece of paper from one side, and wrote and drew on it:
"Brother, look, I'll use the simplest per-minute trading volume as an example. When the other party was operating the stock of Tsinghua Unigroup, 10 times out of 5, when the minute's trading volume dropped below 2000 lots, they would Start throwing chips at any cost, trying to use excess chips to open the daily limit."

"Then the same is true for this Huaxing stock. When the minute-by-minute trading volume is below 5000 lots, they will start to sell. The ratio is about 10 out of 6 times."

"So, the high probability of minute-by-minute trading volume is an indicator they use to judge, but I don't know what the specific judgment conditions are. To analyze it requires a huge amount of data and experiments, and to eliminate conditions one by one. I'm not measuring it."

"It's been a night, and I have already ruled out dozens of conditions, and there are at least hundreds of conditions to be ruled out, and this is only an indicator of minute trading volume."

Ye Lan had a tired look on her face, but after hearing her words, Ye Zhou was refreshed.

Isn't this an opportunity to experiment with your "planner" talents, delivered to your door? ?

Although he doesn't know much about finance, as long as Ye Lan clearly explained the internal logic to himself and figured out the source of each indicator, he should still have a certain basis for judgment.

Thinking of this, he immediately said:
"You list all the indicators and conditions you want to measure, and then tell me about the logic and principles, and I'll see if I can help you as a staff."

Ye Lan glanced at him suspiciously, and asked in disbelief:

"Brother, is it really okay? You are not a professional in this field."

"It's okay, one method works all the way, isn't the principle of your experiment exactly the same as the control variable method in our experiment? It's just some data experiments, let's start, finish it early and go to bed early!"

Ye Lan thought for a moment, and finally agreed with Ye Zhou's statement.

So, in this empty reception hall, Ye Lan started a popular science lecture on financial transactions.

From trading volume, to price, to moving average, to turnover rate, to BOLL, MIKE, SE various indicators made Ye Zhou dizzy, but fortunately, the logic behind these indicators is not complicated. It is not too difficult for an engineering student like Zhou to understand.

After figuring out the principles of all the indicators, Ye Lan began to list the possible operation trigger conditions on the paper. While reading the conditions she wrote, Ye Zhou combined her explanation to review the details of the opponent's operation at that time, trying to find out the opponent's Actions and links to these indicators.

Time passed by, and when Ye Lan's finger pointed to the turnover rate, Ye Zhou's heart suddenly moved.

In the simulator, the urge to trigger the "planner" talent came back.

Ye Zhou suddenly realized.

The so-called "planner" is actually a judgment based on intuition.

It is not without foundation, but after the analyst has understood all the principles, based on these principles, the judgment is made directly across the analysis process.

This is like marching and fighting. A general may not know how attacking a certain pass will create huge opportunities for the whole body, but he wants to fight and resolutely implements this goal.

In history, the most classic battlefield command case based on this intuition is Sidu Chishui.

Ye Zhou put away his thoughts, pointed to the turnover rate indicator and said:

"The turnover rate should be the key indicator. In addition, the transaction volume and average transaction amount are also among them. I suggest you start with these three indicators and perform a composite analysis. It is estimated that the results will be obtained soon."

After hearing Ye Zhou's words, Ye Lan's eyes lit up.

"It seems to be. Wait, I kind of want to understand. This time the fight happened when the stock price has already reached the limit, so the core factor is market confidence. The three indicators you mentioned are completely intuitive of market confidence. reflect!"

"Wait, I want to test it. According to this logic, the impact of these three indicators is linear, but the weights are different, and the scope of the test will be greatly reduced."

Ye Lan was operating the computer talking to herself, and completely put aside Ye Zhou who had just suggested to her. Ye Zhou didn't want to disturb her, so she could only turn around and go to the kitchen to make some supper.

When he finished supper and brought it to Ye Lan, she was still immersed in the world of data, Ye Zhou shook his head, turned and went back to his room.

In the early morning of the next day, Ye Zhou was awakened by an earth-shattering cheer. He quickly got up and ran outside the door, and Ye Lan ran towards him with an excited face.

"Brother! It's really like this! It's really a compound of these three indicators! I've already calculated it! Their operating strategies are always the same, and all transactions have only slight deviations!"

"I also analyzed their operations in other markets, you know? They use this logic in all transactions!"

"I guess they never changed it! They won't change it in the future!"

"This Blackstone Fund, at least in this small field, they have no secrets anymore! I will continue to test and see how they operate in other aspects, but, going down, the difficulty will be much smaller! "

Ye Lan's eyes were bloodshot, but her expression was filled with excitement.

Ye Zhou gave her a distressed look, and then looked at the bowl of noodles that he put on the table last night.

Still didn't move.

　Ten thousand in five chapters today, and ten thousand starting tomorrow.

　　In the past two days, the code words have been invalidated by my wrist.

　　
　
(End of this chapter)