Xinshun 1730

Chapter 816

This question goes back to the question of the Austrian Netherlands.

Liu Yu discussed with Louis XV before that the Austrian Netherlands cannot and should not eat it.

After eating, it must be the Franco-Prussian alliance against Russia, Austria, Britain and the Netherlands.

Fighting life and death on land, unable to face the sea, the British ate up the colonies with joy.At that time, Britain will be the European version of "Qin destroyed Shu and has the qualifications to become emperor".

And the Franco-Prussian alliance is unstable, and Prussia's treachery goes without saying. The key is that France has the enemy of "Germany" in addition to the enemy of Britain.

So Austria is "Germany", so Prussia is not "Germany"?

The current situation is that Prussia has risen, and Austria has no power to fight back in the two Silesian wars, and it must lose every battle.

At this time, the rise of Prussia should be considered instead of continuing to encircle Austria with the thinking of "seeking a sword in a boat".

The purpose of enclosing Austria is to contain the rise of "Germany".

But now, does "Germany" have potential in Prussia, or in Austria?

This is like a person with a sick left leg at the beginning, so the crutch is placed on the left side.

After a few years, the left leg is healed, but the right leg is lame, but according to past experience, it is unwise to put the crutch on the left side.

Going to encircle Prussia will bring in a lot of allies such as Austria, Russia, Sweden, Saxony, etc. The Netherlands can still maintain neutrality, France can still have spare power to fight for hegemony at sea, and Dashun can also help.Including Sweden, it also has claims and ambitions for Pomerania.

To continue to besiege Austria and seize the Austrian Netherlands, it is definitely impossible for the Netherlands to be neutral, because they know that the next one to die in neutral will be themselves.Russia, Austria, Sweden, Saxony and other countries threatened by Prussia will all stand on the opposite side of France.

The Austrian Netherlands is the most suitable direction for France to expand in continental Europe.Wealth aside, Belgium is a Catholic rather than a Protestant Calvinist, which is also conducive to French rule.And it is also the ideal northwest boundary of what the French call the natural frontier.

However, this is still the difference between "emperor" and "tyrant".

Qi Guogong had to tell Louis XV the story of the Spring and Autumn Period and the Warring States Period.

Duke Huan of Qi was the overlord. His overlord was not obtained by eating the land of Yan State when Yan State was defeated, but by allying with small countries to fight against Chu State.

Jin Wengong is the overlord, and his overlord was not achieved by fighting the surrounding area, but by allying with other countries to fight against Chu.

France is now facing a similar situation.

And it was pretty good before.

The War of Polish Succession is a kind of hegemony and influence.When France spoke, European countries had to be cautious.

The Russian-Turkish war cannot be mediated by France. Unless France comes forward, there is no trust between Russia and Turkey to sign a treaty.

In the battle for the emperor of the Shenluo, France can also greatly interfere, support the puppet, and even make the elector of Bavaria the emperor.

If you don't want Russia to get involved in the affairs of Central Europe, with a few casual promises, you can make Sweden pro-French declare war on Russia and raz Petersburg.

This is Pa.

What is Di?
Learn from Qin.

In front of Hangu Pass, the anti-Qin alliance was hard-nosed; today they deceived Chu and took Chu's land;

But it would be very wrong to seek to be emperor instead of seeking hegemony without the strength of Qin's stubborn anti-Qin alliance.

France does not have the strength to fight against the anti-French alliance now, and even if later generations have many BUFF bonuses from the Huangjia Revolution, the ending is not six kings and four seas, let alone now?
Louis XV also had some points for the strength of France and the balance of power among European countries.Otherwise, you can't scold the Russian queen angrily, let alone get angry because Russia sent [-] troops.

This is like when Qin State had the power to proclaim himself emperor, when he besieged Zhao State, and Wei State wanted to save it, he just said, "I attack Zhao, and I will go down at night, and the princes who dare to rescue Zhao will have to pull out Zhao, so they must move their troops to attack first." "It will scare the king of Wei from sending troops.

If France can directly send a letter of credence to Russia now, say "I attack the Netherlands, and I will go down at night, if you dare to save it, you will move your troops to break Petersburg first."The Russian army was so frightened that they retreated without a fight, so they retreated quickly, which is qualified to prosper the emperor's career.

However, the reality is that Russia sent troops, and France did not intimidate, but sent an ambassador to plead with Russia not to ally with Britain.

With this strength, is he worthy of being an emperor?

The imperial industry dare not do it, but the hegemony can be achieved.

According to Liu Yu's previous analysis and his understanding of the affairs here, Qi Guogong believes that there are still many opportunities for France to become hegemony in the future.There are many reasons such as "conquering the barbarians" and "tribute to Jiubao Mao".

First of all, Britain is not a country in continental Europe. If you are a barbarian, what do you get involved in in continental Europe?
Secondly, Shinra's affairs will be resolved internally by Shinra.You are the king of England, and you have the title of Elector of Hanover on your head. You have to talk about it, right?Either go to be the king of England, or come to be the elector of Hanover. Now you, the elector of Hanover, are you speaking for Shinra?Or speak for Britain?
Again, the rise of Prussia, the decline of Austria, and France mediate in order to balance them so that one side is not too strong; the British, the title of Elector of Hanover, will be abolished.To be the arbiter of Shinra's internal affairs, right and left.

Isn't this all hegemony?
Aiming at the "consensus" recognized by Louis XV, which was the contradiction between Britain and France, Qi Guogong understood diplomacy as the idea of ​​an ancient political strategist, and persuaded Louis XV in a rather retro way.

Like the ancient stories, a story is first told as a metaphor.

"In the ancient Chinese martial arts examination, there were two people. One could open a bow of nine stones, and the other could open a bow of ten stones. There are still a few days before the examination. This one can open a bow of nine stones. People also want to be the champion."

"So he quietly went to the house of the man who could open ten stone bows, and put medicine in his food. On the day of the exam, the strong man who could open ten stone bows suffered from diarrhea and fatigue. So the strong man who could open nine stone bows became No. [-]."

"Isn't it the same between countries? If you can't cultivate yourself to catch up with others, then harming others and making others inferior to yourself, wouldn't it have the same effect?"

After the metaphor of this sinister story was told, the Duke of Qi said again: "Britain was not strong before, and it was difficult to dominate. So it messed up European affairs time and time again to make France continue to weaken, just like adding medicine to France's food."

"It's just that the time has changed and the stars have moved, and the offensive and defensive trends are different now."

"The English have the land of North America, trade is expanding, and the population is increasing day by day. Now the English are the ones who can open ten crossbows."

"Britain is getting stronger day by day, and France should use its own way to deal with its own body."

"France today has a population of tens of millions and a hundred and twenty cities."

"There is the Pyrenees Mountains in the south, the ocean and the moat in the west. The Alps are in the east, and the apes are struggling to climb them; No Rome, much less an empire."

"The arable land in France is more fertile than the Central Plains; the population of France is the largest in Europe."

"This is the capital of dominance. As long as Britain can be dragged into the water, even if France's population and land do not increase, it will still rule the roost and win the championship. Isn't it the same reason?"

"If Britain is trapped on an isolated island and abandons the benefits of the colony, even if France does not add population and land, if there is no British offshore mixing, who can control France in the European continent?"

With the many foreshadowings in front, Qi Guogong can be counted as a reason when he talks about this reason again.

Unlike the "France is constantly challenging the British hegemony" imagined by many people in later generations, the reality at this time is actually that the UK is constantly challenging the French hegemony.After the Second Hundred Years' War, the challenge was finally successful on June 1815, 6.

France now has an advantage in continental Europe, and its huge advantage is population and arable land.The arable land area and farming environment in France are really good.However, with an area the size of Sichuan Province, the area of ​​arable land that can be cultivated is huge, and the foundation of animal husbandry and agriculture is very good.

A single population advantage gives France the strength to dominate.

Qi Guogong said that "I will not become stronger, but I kill people who are stronger than me, which is another kind of becoming stronger", which is the basis of France's own strength.

In this, it goes back to France's foreign policy and the question of whether the Austrian Netherlands is occupied.

If France chooses peace now, it can return the colonies of North America and India through the exchange of interests.France still has two cards left to play: the small Catholic English usurper; and Hanover.

In Britain, there is now a very serious question, that is, "Is the King of England the King of England? Or the Elector of Hanover in Germany?"

Where are Britain's interests?
In other words, where are the interests of the British bourgeoisie?

North America, India, Colonies.

Where is the interest of the King of England?
Electorate of Hanover.

If France can reach an exchange of interests through peace talks, it will be exchanged for Louisbourg in Canada, Pondicherry in India and other places.

Then, conflicts will accumulate within the UK.

Especially after Liu Yu fiddled with the ginseng trade, the value of the North American colonies surged.

With the effects of Japan’s switch trade, Dashun’s immigration to Liaodong and other factors, the ginseng in the Northeast has basically been scooped up, and the various princes of Japan’s switch also need a lot of ginseng to make medicine. Dashun also has an inexplicable admiration for ginseng This is a magic medicine.

In this case, the American ginseng trade is far more profitable than in history.

From the perspective of the group of people in the thirteen-state colony, they took down Louisbourg in France.

They'll have access to Canada's ginseng trade right away.

How good is it that you can exchange for silver from China like a wild animal without spinning or weaving, just by digging grass roots?
Moreover, Louisburg is stuck in the Newfoundland fishing grounds, and the fishing industry is also a huge income.

Although, at a deep level, the New England militia could take Lewisburg and hold it.The point is not them, but the Royal Navy of the British government.

Without the Royal Navy, the French could easily retake Louisbourg from this group of militias.

However, this is similar to Dashun's previous debate on the navy: the navy did not fight the Japanese, why did the navy take the lead?
What the militiamen in New England saw intuitively was that: Lao Tzu contributed money, the lower class contributed, and desperately captured Lewisburg. The mother country did not contribute at all. to France?

They don't think about it. If there is no Wang Family Navy, even if they can capture it, they will not be able to defend it.

They only think about their own interests, being betrayed by their mother country, or in other words, by the king.

Thinking deeper, is our king the elector of the Shinra nobles?Or the king of the British bourgeoisie?
(End of this chapter)