Xinshun 1730

Chapter 1446 Three Mountains in One

How else can the traditions of the ancestors haunt the present people like a nightmare?
What France did later was essentially similar to John Law's big Mississippi bubble.

It is all through absorbing the funds of the "middle class" and investing in places where "should be invested".

However, in the era of John Law, there was no gold in Mississippi, and the Indian company, the African company, and the American company could not eat so much gold and silver. The plate of the world economy was only that big.There is no place to really invest in industry, so in the end you can only step on your left foot and go to the sky with your right foot.

Beat the drums and pass the flowers, and run away when you can't play anymore.

In the third era, the dawn of the industrial age has dawned, and there are many places in France that need investment.Relying on the means of concentrating national wealth, even if the game collapses in the end, it even completes usury imperialism.

But during that period of time, French industry exploded.

That is to say, although it was a routine of stepping on the left foot and the right foot at the beginning-the dividend return has reached 40%-but this is not the advent of the industrial age, it will not be like John Law at that time, there is no place to invest, but It is catching up with the era of "creating more wealth in one century than in all previous eras".

Railways, ships, urban lighting, mines, public transportation, newspapers and other things finally got funds, which made France's industrial power increase rapidly in a short period of time. It is not wrong to call it a take-off.

Even relying on this round of operations, it defeated the alliance of Mayer Rothschild and Tarabert, preventing financiers from taking advantage of the large amount of hot money during the North American Gold Rush and the Australian Gold Rush to completely control French politics.

As the right-hand man of the third, the Duke of Persini admitted unabashedly: I wanted an instrument that would liberate the Second Empire from the control of the government usually held by the financiers... There is no doubt that without this (cloaked The policy of the Empire will have to be compromised by the big financiers.

It's just that France's plate is so big, and the Franco-Prussian War was fought like that again, and it was finally designated as a game that collapsed.

Because the situation in France is similar to that of Dashun.

Money doesn't want to go to industry because the rate of return is too low.

Money wants to go to places like speculation, reselling, hoarding, buying land, etc.

And if you go to these places, you have to come up with a higher rate of return to attract "capital" to invest in this big industrial bank.

If you have money, you can do things.

Only when the money reaches the big banks can those industries such as mines, industries, railways, urban transportation, and municipal construction get the funds needed for development.

In fact, the effect is also significant.

The length of railways in France increased from 3500 kilometers to 20000 kilometers; the number of steam engine factories in France increased fourfold; the annual industrial growth rate in France was 2.5 times that of Britain at that time, and the industrial output value increased by 73% within a few years; the agricultural population It dropped sharply from 62% to 54%; 1855 became the last major famine in recorded history in France, and since then there has been no famine in France.

However, problems are also buried in this rapid growth.

First off, French plates are just that big.Insufficient population, non-concentrated coal and iron, insufficient overseas markets, and rapid growth, what should we do?

Secondly, it is the same as Dashun's problem.You have to give a high enough "return rate", which is basically the same as speculation, buying land, hoarding, etc., so that the money can be invested in this big bank, and then the big bank can then invest the money in the industry-gold In the Silver Age, money was not printed.

And such a high rate of return, how to do?
Can, and can only follow the method that Lao Ma satirized: fast in and fast out, earning a discount; using franchise rights to invest in the industrial and mining industry, and then selling these industrial and mining stocks that are bound to be promoted...

But this is obviously not sustainable.

于是，靠着类似的这一套操作，54年股息是12%、55年据说有40%但可能没兑这么高；56年也有22%……

Lao Ma said that this approach is unsustainable and will explode sooner or later.

And the old horse also said, what will happen if this set is blown up?Then, there is one and only one way to go - learn from Britain in 1797, directly declare that the bond will not be honored, and the gold standard will be frozen until 1821.Why was the gold standard frozen until 1821, because Napoleon died that year.

The redemption of precious metals is frozen, and the direct bond is not honored.

Can this set be played?
can.

On what?
National strength, confidence, prestige, victory in foreign wars, and dividends of the times just happened to catch up with a new round of industrial revolution.

In Britain in 1797, the game was successful-in fact, in later generations, there was another one that was also successful.

Because we won.

Also because it happened to catch up with the outbreak of a round of industrial revolution.

Lao Ma said that sooner or later, France will have to play this trick, and also have to learn from England in 1797.

But the problem is that England in 1797 finally broke France and threw Napoleon on the island, and at the same time caught up with the first industrial revolution.

As for France, it was World War I, which made this set of things completely impossible for France to play.In the end, this road was interrupted, so we could only play usury imperialism-money, France, as an old colonial country, has money; pay Prussia 12 billion taels of Kuping silver, a small problem, accumulated for hundreds of years Fundamentally, the 12 billion taels of Kuping silver is still available; even if it is taken out, there is still money, but the industry is still not developing, and the capital does not want to invest money in the industry at all. In fact, there are not many places to invest , I have no choice but to be a usurer imperialist and take out the money for lending.

Of course, in today's Dashun, including Liu Yu's previous reforms, it is easy to see the general shadow of this set of things.

In the simplest terms, the matter of Fusang immigration is essentially in such a form.

By absorbing funds, promising a high rate of return, taking advantage of the opportunity of the industrial revolution and the American gold mines, and allowing the capital to go where Liu Yu wants to go under the condition that the high rate of return can be realized.

Inside, there are both whips.

Also, carrots on a stick.

So, will what he is doing now become the “predecessor tradition that haunts like a nightmare version” of the realists and reformers in the future?For the future, does it count as creating the established conditions inherited from the past for the future?
It should be said, yes.

Here, what should be noted is the difference between the Prussian model, the British model, and this French model.And behind it, the smallholder land ownership system, the transformation of tolerance and restraint, and the difference between the completed enclosure movement.

Dashun is unable to achieve equal farmland and state-owned land.

Under the premise of small farmers, cultivated land trading, and land deed recognition, as well as Liu Yu's previous reform ideas, I am afraid that this "Saint-Simon Industry" trend of thought will take root in Dashun.

At the same time, we should also pay attention to the development of this kind of industry. Will the imperial power, landlords, nobles, and bureaucrats object?Will you support it?

It can only be said that Lao Ma said that if the industry is developed through the joint-stock system, if it continues, it will lead to "industrial feudalism" as Fourier said.

However, industrial feudalism, imperial power, nobles, and bureaucrats may not necessarily oppose it.

As for how to achieve industrial feudalism, this does not require the theoretical guidance of reverse practice, and it will basically succeed if it is carried out spontaneously.

Is this a good thing?
It should be said that it is a "good thing."

Lao Ma said: [(Industrial feudalism) has accelerated the accumulation of capital, and the inevitable result is that the bankruptcy of the petty bourgeoisie has also accelerated. (Industrial-feudal groups) Their power is in inverse proportion to their responsibility, since they are only responsible for the shares they hold, but command the entire capital of the company.They form a relatively fixed group, while the majority of shareholders are constantly changing, forming an oligarchic board of directors]

[Below the oligarchy, there is a bureaucracy of practical corporate executives and agents who directly manage a growing number of ordinary wage workers.As the amount of capital employing labor increases, so does the dependence and isolation of workers, but as the number of persons representing this capital decreases, they become more and more dangerous.]

This model is naturally acceptable to the feudal ruling group in Dashun.

It's nothing more than collecting land rent in the past.

Now, the industry "rents".

The result is that the petty bourgeois will be bankrupted step by step, the number of capital holders will be reduced, and finally it will become industrial feudalism. The number of available workers will also increase, and the petty bourgeois will be reduced to hired workers step by step. The danger of a big explosion Sex is getting higher and higher.

It is said to be a "good thing" because of this danger.

At the same time, for Dashun at this time, it was not afraid that Dashun would engage in industrial feudalism, but rather that Dashun would not engage in industry at all.Industrial feudalism is also industry; without industry, there is no even industrial feudalism, only agricultural feudalism.

This goes back to Liu Yu's question of "tossing" or "not tossing".

In other words, if you are not afraid of Dashun's troubles, you are afraid that Dashun will not make troubles.

No tossing, there is a way to play without tossing.

The so-called no fuss means that the dynasty generally lasts for 250 years anyway, so how can there be a thousand years?
It's a day to be able to mess around, so why bother?

The successful reform of the salt industry proves that this set of gameplay can realize the idea of ​​"salt and iron theory" under the condition of increasing productivity.

Then, develop technology to engage in blast furnace iron and steam blasting, increase production enough to squeeze out all private iron smelters, and ensure the use of farm tools, weapons, and pots and pans.

Like the reform of the salt industry, taxation on the production side is also carried out to increase tax sources.

For the rest, don't worry about it. Make sure that the court has money in hand, and the rest will basically remain the same, then go up and run, and Guozuo will work hard for 250 years to 300 years, or 350 years.

This is a non-frustrating way of playing under the development of technology.

Through Liu Yu's reform of the salt industry, this no-fuss game also has a clear direction—that is, through the cost advantage caused by the development of productivity, it can solve the private problem of the salt industry that has been difficult to solve since the Tang Dynasty.

Daming’s gameplay is to control the production end as much as possible by building huge salt boilers, controlling fuel, and the Baojia system.This is solved by dominance under the shortage of productivity.

Liu Yu's method is to engage in capital-intensive and manpower-intensive methods of extracting brine by steam and producing salt by sun drying, relying on cost to directly crush small producers who are still playing with reed sticks to boil salt, directly forming a monopoly at the production end, and relying on the cost to directly form a monopoly at the production end. Progress abolishes those complicated governing techniques, and breaks those subtle techniques with overwhelming force.

Well, the iron smelting industry, of course, can play like this.There are other industries such as this.

In short, it is to return to the road of salt and iron monopoly and stable small-scale peasant economy. If we don’t go forward, we can do what we like and spend 300 years in the country.

The problem is that along with Fusang immigrants, the “Book of Classics” that can accommodate enough people in industry and commerce has completed theoretical calculations, the “tribute” of saltpeter fertilizer to the Emperor Xiyuan’s own plowing and other factors.

As a result, the emperor thought that there would still be a hundred years of Guozuo if there was no tossing; tossing and tossing might make Zhou eight hundred and Wang Han four hundred.

Liu Yu prescribes the right medicine.

It is necessary to understand what the emperor is afraid of, what he is worried about, what kind of technology can make the emperor's eyes shine instead of making the emperor think it is a trick, what kind of policy seems to be beneficial to the dynasty and not the priority. China is either beneficial to the nation or to the common people—even if it may overlap sometimes, the policies that seem to be beneficial to the dynasty are also beneficial to the common people. If you talk about the benefits of the common people and the future of the nation, the emperor will jump up and reform, then there is something wrong with his brain. He has never endured the iron fist of feudal imperial power. Kusanagi will be in advance.

(End of this chapter)